{"id":10924,"date":"2011-01-21T13:07:41","date_gmt":"2011-01-21T11:07:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/en\/?p=10924"},"modified":"2011-01-21T13:07:41","modified_gmt":"2011-01-21T11:07:41","slug":"china-passes-japan-as-worlds-no-2-economy-21012011","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/en\/china-passes-japan-as-worlds-no-2-economy-21012011\/","title":{"rendered":"China passes Japan as world&#8217;s No. 2 economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/Chinese-women.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-10925\" title=\"Chinese-women\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/Chinese-women.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/Chinese-women.jpg 460w, https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/01\/Chinese-women-280x168.jpg 280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 460px) 100vw, 460px\" \/><\/a>China has overtaken Japan as the world&#8217;s second-largest economy, but the rising power must overcome a number of hurdles if it intends to challenge the United States for the top position.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s gross domestic product in real terms grew 10.3 percent in 2010 from a year earlier, the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics announced Thursday. It was the first double-digit year-on-year growth in three years.<\/p>\n<p>The country&#8217;s nominal GDP in 2010 reached 39.798 trillion yuan (about $5.881 trillion).<\/p>\n<p>In the first nine months of 2010, Japan and China were tied at $3.9 trillion in terms of nominal GDP, giving Japan a loose claim to the No. 2 position that it has held since 1968, when it surpassed West Germany.<\/p>\n<p>But China&#8217;s 9.8-percent year-on-year increase in GDP in the October-December period is certain to exceed the Japanese number, which will be released in mid-February.<\/p>\n<p>The World Bank predicts that China&#8217;s economic growth in real terms will slow to 8.7 percent in 2011, still well above the global average of 3.3 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Such predictions have led some economists to forecast that China will become the world&#8217;s largest economy in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>But the country is fraught with a host of challenges, including a wealth disparity that could limit personal consumption, soaring inflation and possible unrest from the millions of people who have not seen the benefits from the country&#8217;s economic rise.<\/p>\n<p>A 23.8-percent jump in spending on public works and other projects, which began after the global financial crisis, and an emphasis on exports fueled China&#8217;s expansion in 2010.<\/p>\n<p>The value of China&#8217;s exports topped all countries for the second straight year. In 2010, Chinese exports soared 31 percent, a huge turnaround from a 16-percent decrease in 2009.<\/p>\n<p>But China is aware that the current pace of its export expansion is unsustainable.<\/p>\n<p>Robust exports, buoyed by rampant development and a competitive edge attained by cheap labor costs, have created new problems, such as pollution, overuse of natural resources and trade frictions.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, industrialized countries are demanding that China stop keeping its currency artificially low to retain its advantage in exports.<\/p>\n<p>China plans to switch to economic growth led by domestic consumption, but the uneven distribution of wealth has become embedded in society and could limit household spending.<\/p>\n<p>Although personal consumption soared by 18.4 percent, the high figure has much to do with steep price increases.<\/p>\n<p>And the percentage of household income has actually declined over the past two decades even as the Chinese economy was expanding at an annual rate of about 10 percent.<\/p>\n<p>The ones that have benefitted the most from the country&#8217;s rapid economic ascent are the government and state-run enterprises, which have power and access to information.<\/p>\n<p>Farmers had seen a smaller rise in their income than that for urban residents, leading to a disparity that could spark social unrest and hinder personal consumption.<\/p>\n<p>In 2010, the increase in farming household income exceeded that for city dwellers for the first time in almost 10 years. But in terms of value, farmers&#8217; income was only one-third of that for urban residents.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s per-capita GDP is about one-10th of the Japanese figure and still has not cracked the global top 100.<\/p>\n<p>With this in mind, Beijing is instructing local governments to raise minimum wages to bring the pace of economic growth and household income to the same level under a five-year plan from 2011.<\/p>\n<p>But China will also have to deal with soaring inflation to achieve this goal.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s market is awash with funds from huge government investments and speculative funds flowing in from advanced countries.<\/p>\n<p>The consumer price index rose 3.3 percent in 2010 from a year earlier, above the government target of 3 percent.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s &#8220;golden period&#8221; is expected to run until around 2015, when the production-age population peaks. The country&#8217;s population, now at 1.3 billion, is forecast to decline after 2030.<\/p>\n<p>While tackling inflation, the Chinese government also needs to address the midterm issue of improving social security and upgrading industrial and social structures to grow into a mature economy.<\/p>\n<p>The fourfold expansion of China&#8217;s economy over the past decade has also caused friction with other countries.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s military buildup, its passive response to tackling global warming and its de facto bans on exports of rare earth elements have infuriated countries around the world.<\/p>\n<p>Its spending spree on fuel and grain has also led to troubles with emerging economies.<\/p>\n<span style=\"font-weight: bold; color: #f00;\">Error, group does not exist! Check your syntax! 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