{"id":100035,"date":"2012-03-05T09:49:18","date_gmt":"2012-03-05T07:49:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=100035"},"modified":"2019-03-28T11:30:14","modified_gmt":"2019-03-28T08:30:14","slug":"para-ile-gelen-saadet-2589","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/para-ile-gelen-saadet-2589\/","title":{"rendered":"Para ile gelen saadet"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/omer-demir-anasayfa1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-73924\" title=\"\u00d6mer Demir\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/omer-demir-anasayfa1-206x220.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"206\" height=\"220\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/omer-demir-anasayfa1-206x220.jpg 206w, https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/omer-demir-anasayfa1.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 206px) 100vw, 206px\" \/><\/a>NationalTurk yorumcular\u0131m\u0131zdan Ekonomi ve Borsa uzman\u0131 \u00d6mer Demir\u2018in, bu haftaki \u201cPara ile gelen saadet\u201d adl\u0131 makalesini sizlerle payla\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/h2>\n<p>K\u00fcresel krizin d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc y\u0131l\u0131 dolarken ,y\u00fckselmek i\u00e7in olumlu haber arayan piyasalara bu hafta da AMB\u2019n\u0131n tahvil ihalesi umut \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu. Yarat\u0131lan daha fazla likidite ve her zamankinden daha ucuz fonlama ve nakite daha kolay eri\u015fim ,bakal\u0131m kapitalizmin ana dinamosu olan t\u00fcketim ve harcama ile olmazsa olmaz istihdam\u0131 artt\u0131rabilecekmi?<\/p>\n<p>2008 Lehman \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ile al\u0131nan ilk \u00f6nlemler ,kapitalizmin ayakta durabilmesi i\u00e7in d\u00fcnyaya nakit pompalamak olmu\u015ftu. \u0130lk \u00f6nlemler d\u00fcnyaya bu krizi bula\u015ft\u0131ran ABD\u2019den geldi.ABD&#8217;nin QE1 ve QE2 diye lansman\u0131n\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 para harekat\u0131, sonras\u0131nda kendini Operation Twist program\u0131 ile devam ettirdi . Temelde piyasan\u0131n elindeki toksit menkullerin bas\u0131lan paralarla de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesi ilkesine dayal\u0131 bu sistemler ile FED\u2019in kurulu\u015fundan bu yana arz etti\u011fi 1 trilyon dolar\u0131n, 3 kat\u0131 nakit para piyasalara s\u00fcr\u00fclerek kapitalizmin \u00e7arklar\u0131n\u0131n tekrar harekete ge\u00e7mesi i\u00e7in \u00e7aba g\u00f6sterildi. ABD bu riskli deneyin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 beklerken AMB \u2018da d\u00fcnyay\u0131 yeniden ke\u015ffetmeye gerek yok der gibi benzer bir plan \u00fczerine yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131 .\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00e7ok fazla se\u00e7enek yoktu. Ya kapitalizmin tek korkusu olan deflasyon ya\u015fanacak ve d\u00fcnya bu tahribat ile uzun y\u0131llar hastal\u0131kl\u0131 kalacakt\u0131 yada enflasyona ra\u011fmen t\u00fcketime ,sisteme devam edilecekti. Tabiki ikinci ihtimal denendi.PIIGS\u2019lerde patlak veren bor\u00e7 ve yap\u0131sal hatalar y\u00f6netim krizine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce AB\u2019de tahviller \u00e7\u00f6p seviyesini defalarca g\u00f6rd\u00fc. IMF, AB\u2019de ki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmenin 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda da s\u00fcrece\u011fini ve en iyi ihtimalle &#8211; 0.5 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme oran\u0131na ula\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Gelelim bu haftaya ;Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n tahvil al\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7in beklenen ihalesine,tahminlerin 470 milyar euro oldu\u011fu ihalenin 530 milyar euro ile doldurulmas\u0131 k\u00fcresel iyimserlik ve likidite bollu\u011funun devam edece\u011fi imaj\u0131n\u0131 do\u011furdu. K\u0131sa ad\u0131 LTRO (Long Term Refinancing Operations) olan bu likitite nin y\u00fczde 30\u2019u \u0130talya ,y\u00fczde 20 \u2018si \u0130spanya, y\u00fczde 15\u2019i Frans\u0131z,y\u00fczde 13\u2019\u00fc \u0130rlanda, y\u00fczde 11\u2019i Yunanistan,y\u00fczde 7\u2019si Almanya ve y\u00fczde 5\u2019i Portekiz bankalar\u0131na pay edilmi\u015f oldu. Yarat\u0131lan bu likititenin etkisi ile enflasyon beklentisine girerek y\u00fckselen emtialar, \u00e7ok k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre sonra ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan gelen yeni bir parasal geni\u015fleme yok (QE3) imas\u0131 ile sert sat\u0131\u015f yedi. \u00d6zellikle de\u011ferli metaller i\u00e7inde s\u00fcrekli spek\u00fclasyona a\u00e7\u0131k alt\u0131n i\u00e7in bir ka\u00e7 saat i\u00e7inde ya\u015fanan 100 once \u2018luk de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ,alt\u0131n\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m arac\u0131 olmaktan \u00e7ok hem spek\u00fclasyon hemde manip\u00fclasyon arac\u0131 oldu\u011funun kan\u0131t\u0131 de\u011filmi?<\/p>\n<h4>Simge ve \u00f6tesi<\/h4>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n simgesi aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 neticesinde a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 yar\u0131\u015fma nihayet belirlendi. Tahmin edilebilece\u011fi gibi bu simgeyi be\u011fenenlerde oldu ,ayn\u0131 simgeye ucube diyenlerde. Semboller pariteler liginde art\u0131k gururla g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz T\u00fcrk liras\u0131n\u0131n ifadesini kolayla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131p ,d\u00fcnyaca tan\u0131nabilirli\u011fini artt\u0131racak. Alt\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131r at\u0131lmas\u0131 ile b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ba\u015far\u0131ya ula\u015fan T\u00fcrk liras\u0131n\u0131n ,Cumhuriyetin ilk y\u0131llar\u0131ndaki sayg\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131na geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan T\u00fcrk liras\u0131n\u0131n bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc ve tasarruf arac\u0131 olabilmesine bir kap\u0131 daha a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015f oldu. Tabi 6 s\u0131f\u0131r at\u0131larak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ba\u015far\u0131ya imza atan ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin bu prensibi koruyarak enflasyon \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yapabilecek unsurlar\u0131 yeni s\u0131f\u0131rlar\u0131n eklenmemesi i\u00e7in s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilmesi \u00f6nemli. Logo,bir marka i\u00e7in her\u015fey demekse simgelerde para i\u00e7in,\u00fclke imaj\u0131 i\u00e7in ayn\u0131 \u015fey.Y\u00fckselen T\u00fcrkiye imaj\u0131na uygun bir simge se\u00e7ilmeliydi.<\/p>\n<p>TL&#8217;nin yeni simgesinin a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u00f6rende Ba\u015fbakan Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan&#8217;\u0131n &#8220;Fiyat istikrar\u0131ndan, finansal istikrardan ve mali disiplinden asla taviz vermeyece\u011fiz&#8221; s\u00f6z\u00fc umut verici. Yine benzer bir ifade ile \u2028Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Dr. Erdem Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131\u2019n\u0131n simgenin geometrisi ile ilgili anlam\u0131 da etkileyici idi. Alttaki \u00e7eyrek dairesel kuyruk (yar\u0131m \u00e7\u0131pa) T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n saklama arac\u0131 olarak g\u00fcvenli bir liman haline geldi\u011fini, \u00e7\u0131pa boynunu yukar\u0131 e\u011fimle kesen \u00e7ift \u00e7izgi ise T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n istikrar i\u00e7inde y\u00fckselen de\u011ferini simgeliyor\u2019\u2019 ifadeleri s\u00f6z\u00fc ama\u00e7la uyumlu. K\u0131saca simge hedefine kolay ula\u015fabilir.Yeterki bu simgenin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ortak de\u011feri oldu\u011funa inan\u0131ls\u0131n ,kimin de\u011fil ,kim i\u00e7in yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ,siyasi de\u011fil milli bir de\u011fer oldu\u011funa inan\u0131ls\u0131n.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00d6MER DEM\u0130R<\/strong><\/p>\n<!-- Error, Advert is not available at this time due to schedule\/geolocation restrictions! -->\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NationalTurk yorumcular\u0131m\u0131zdan Ekonomi ve Borsa uzman\u0131 \u00d6mer Demir\u2018in, bu haftaki \u201cPara ile gelen saadet\u201d adl\u0131 makalesini sizlerle payla\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9192212,"featured_media":73924,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6199],"tags":[195946,10463,195988,94468,79722,94469],"class_list":["post-100035","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-ekonomi","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-omer-demir","tag-tl-simgesi","tag-turk-lirasi","tag-turk-lirasi-simgesi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100035","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9192212"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100035"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100035\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73924"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100035"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}