{"id":117229,"date":"2012-08-29T11:07:04","date_gmt":"2012-08-29T08:07:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=117229"},"modified":"2019-03-28T11:05:13","modified_gmt":"2019-03-28T08:05:13","slug":"yumusak-inis-ve-istihdam-117229","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/yumusak-inis-ve-istihdam-117229\/","title":{"rendered":"Yumu\u015fak \u0130ni\u015f ve \u0130stihdam"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-117230\" title=\"Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/emregollu_yatay.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"280\" height=\"202\">NationalTurk yorumcusu Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc&#8217;n\u00fcn &#8216;Yumu\u015fak \u0130ni\u015f ve \u0130stihdam&#8217; ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 yaz\u0131s\u0131;<\/h1>\n<p>T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in May\u0131s ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 % 8,2\u2019lik i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 ve % 15,9\u2019luk, gen\u00e7ler aras\u0131ndaki i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 moral vericiydi. Ekonomik canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n g\u00f6stergesi olarak nitelendirebilecek bu oranlarda, d\u00f6nemsel etki yani yaz mevsimindeki sekt\u00f6rel hareketliliklerin etkisi ise son derece belirgin \u015fekilde hissediliyor. Bu etkide en b\u00fcy\u00fck pay sahipleri ise tar\u0131m ve turizm sekt\u00f6rleri ki her iki sekt\u00f6rde de d\u00f6nemsel istihdam, yerle\u015fik bir uygulama h\u00e2lini alm\u0131\u015f bulunuyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, d\u00f6nemselli\u011fe ve baz etkisine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak i\u015fsizlik oranlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi s\u00fcrpriz say\u0131lmamal\u0131d\u0131r ancak, a\u00e7\u0131klanan bu oranlar, sekt\u00f6rel potansiyellerin ba\u015fta tar\u0131m olmak \u00fczere de\u011ferlendirilmesi ve uzun vadede kal\u0131c\u0131 geli\u015fmelerin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ad\u0131m at\u0131lmas\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir i\u015faret olmu\u015ftur bana g\u00f6re.<\/p>\n<p>Ortada olan bir ger\u00e7ek \u015fudur ki, \u00fclkemizin kronikle\u015fen i\u015fsizlik sorununa k\u0131sa ve orta vadede kademeli olarak \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm getirebilmek i\u00e7in ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi istikrarl\u0131 olarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilmek, bunun i\u00e7in de k\u00fcresel rekabet\u00e7i \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc olu\u015fturacak sekt\u00f6rleri tan\u0131mlayarak bunlar\u0131 geli\u015ftirecek stratejileri belirlemek gereklidir ki bu ba\u011flamda tar\u0131m\u0131n ve tar\u0131ma dayal\u0131 sanayinin \u00fclkemiz i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6neme ve potansiyele sahip oldu\u011funu \u00f6zellikle vurgulamak istiyorum. Bir kesime g\u00f6re, ulusal ekonomimizin i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 mutlaka azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn d\u00fcnyadaki konjonkt\u00fcre g\u00f6re artan \u00f6neme sahip olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ayr\u0131ca de\u011ferlendirece\u011fim.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fsizlik ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme konular\u0131n\u0131n yerald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcndeme, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftasonu Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdem Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 damgas\u0131n\u0131 vurdu. Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonomideki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lara dikkat \u00e7ekerek \u00c7in dahil hi\u00e7bir \u00fclkenin bu y\u0131l ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 8 ve \u00fczerindeki oranlarda ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi yakalamas\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6rmedi\u011fini belirtti. Yani, iki y\u0131ld\u0131r baz etkisiyle de ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fczde 8 seviyesindeki ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00fclkemiz i\u00e7in de uzak oldu\u011fu ortada ki mevcut konjonkt\u00fcrde bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ola\u011fanl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bahsediliyor. Kronikle\u015fen i\u015fsizlik sorununun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in her y\u0131l en az y\u00fczde 7 oran\u0131nda olmak \u00fczere istikrarl\u0131 \u015fekilde ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n oldu\u011fu dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu orandan uzak kal\u0131nmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak i\u015fsizli\u011fin yeniden y\u00fckselmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Sanayinin baz\u0131 kesimlerinden gelen ekonominin darald\u0131\u011f\u0131 serzeni\u015flerine kar\u015f\u0131n, illa ki ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi art\u0131rmak ad\u0131na enflasyon hedeflemesinden k\u0131sa vadede vazge\u00e7ilmemesi gerekti\u011fi de ortadad\u0131r. Enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131sa vadede tolere etmek, h\u0131zl\u0131 bir ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme etkisini g\u00f6sterebilir ancak bu durum, uzun vadede istikrarl\u0131 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck engel olur. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte, \u00f6zellikle de 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llarda ya\u015fananlar unutulmamal\u0131d\u0131r. Hele ki i\u00e7 talebi canland\u0131rarak ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flama yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndan kesinlikle uzak durulmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130\u00e7 talebi canland\u0131rman\u0131n, \u00fclkemizde ekonomik krizle sonu\u00e7land\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n somut \u00f6rnekleri ge\u00e7mi\u015fte mevcuttur; bunlar\u0131n en belirgini 1994 krizidir.<\/p>\n<p>K\u0131ssadan hisse, sert r\u00fczg\u00e2rlar\u0131n esti\u011fi k\u00fcresel rekabet piyasas\u0131nda makroekonomi ve kamu maliyesi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen yumu\u015fak ini\u015f, riskleri aza indirgemi\u015fken sert kalk\u0131\u015fa y\u00f6nelinmemelidir. B\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in orta ve uzun vadeli hedeflemelere ba\u011fl\u0131 sekt\u00f6rel d\u00fczenlemeler fayda sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r ki burada kilit durumdaki sekt\u00f6r, tekrar vurgulayaca\u011f\u0131m \u00fczere tar\u0131md\u0131r. Unutmayal\u0131m, i\u00e7 piyasada nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin dahi temel unsuru, \u00e7ift\u00e7inin \u00fcretim yapmas\u0131 ve \u00fcretti\u011finin kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 almas\u0131d\u0131r. Tar\u0131m\u0131 hakir g\u00f6rme l\u00fcks\u00fcm\u00fcz bu ba\u011flamda asla olmamal\u0131d\u0131r. 30 A\u011fustos Zafer Bayram\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 kutluyor, Ulu \u00d6nder Atat\u00fcrk\u2019\u00fc ve silah arkada\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 sayg\u0131yla ve rahmetle an\u0131yorum.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc \/ NationalTurk<\/strong><\/p>\n<!-- Error, Advert is not available at this time due to schedule\/geolocation restrictions! -->\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NationalTurk yorumcusu Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc&#8217;n\u00fcn &#8216;Yumu\u015fak \u0130ni\u015f ve \u0130stihdam&#8217; ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 yaz\u0131s\u0131;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9192204,"featured_media":117230,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6199,6155,26554,5005,6202,6805],"tags":[74227,195983,11398,67198,109869,16243,10463,10061,3909],"class_list":["post-117229","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-gundem","category-haftanin-yorumu","category-manset","category-politika","category-turkiye","tag-buyume-rakamlari","tag-emre-gollu","tag-emre-gollu-yazilari","tag-erdem-basci","tag-issizlik-orani","tag-issizlik-rakamlari","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-nationalturk","tag-tuik"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117229","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9192204"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117229"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117229\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117230"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117229"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117229"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117229"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}