![\"Emre](\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/emregollu_yatay1.jpg\" "\\"\\"")
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Bayram\u0131n kutlamas\u0131, art arda iki vefat haberiyle burukla\u015ft\u0131. Hakk\u2019a y\u00fcr\u00fcyen, Mimarlar Odas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Eski Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve yazar Oktay Ekinci ile BJK Divan Kurulu \u00dcyesi ve Y\u00f6netim Kurulu Eski \u00dcyesi Sn. Abd\u00fclkadir Orman\u2019a (BJK Y\u00f6netim Kurulu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fikret Orman\u2019\u0131n babas\u0131) Allah\u2019tan rahmet diliyorum. Sahip oldu\u011fumuz de\u011ferleri, onlar\u0131 kaybedince de\u011fil, onlar aram\u0131zdayken anlamay\u0131 ve de\u011ferlerini bilmeyi temenni ediyorum.<\/p>\n
Bayram \u00f6ncesi a\u00e7\u0131klanan Orta Vadeli Programa (OVP) dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerimi sizlerle payla\u015fmak arzusunday\u0131m. OVP\u2019de k\u00fcresel likiditenin azalaca\u011f\u0131na ve bunun, yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131 bulunan, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin piyasalar\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011fa yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi vurgusu yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Bunu ekonomimize uyarlarsak, car\u00ee a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f kaynakla kapat\u0131lmas\u0131nda zorluk ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ekonomimizde k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artabilece\u011fi, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fi mesaj\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Temel hedefler olarak, ekonomimizin ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azalm\u0131\u015f bir yap\u0131ya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn art\u0131r\u0131larak, car\u00ee a\u00e7\u0131k sorunu ya\u015fanmadan b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131labilmesi i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek katma de\u011ferli \u00fcr\u00fcn \u00fcretimine ge\u00e7ilmesi konuluyor. Bunlar elbette ki kula\u011fa ho\u015f gelen, motive edici hedefler, ancak, bunlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilebilmesi i\u00e7in hem sermaye ve teknoloji yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n, hem de teknoloji bilgisinin ve uzman \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n gerekti\u011fi unutulmamal\u0131 ki k\u0131sa vadede bu unsurlar\u0131n tamam\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak olanaks\u0131z gibi. Yurti\u00e7i tasarruflar\u0131 art\u0131rma hedefinin alt\u0131 \u00f6zellikle \u00e7izilmi\u015f. Ekonominin i\u00e7 talepteki art\u0131\u015fa ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, t\u00fcketimin te\u015fvik edildi\u011fi ve h\u00e2ne halk\u0131 bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclen toplumsal dinamikle yurti\u00e7i tasarruflar\u0131n\u0131n bireysel temelde art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 bence bir soru i\u015fareti olu\u015fturuyor. 2013\u2019\u00fcn sonunda % 7,1 olmas\u0131 beklenen car\u00ee a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n, 2016\u2019n\u0131n sonunda % 5,5\u2019e inmesi, bir yandan b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin artmas\u0131 hedefini ve mevcut dinamiklerin k\u0131sa vadede h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015femeyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrsek, kan\u0131mca zorlay\u0131c\u0131 bir hedef olarak kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u0130stihdamda tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 beklenirken, di\u011fer yandan tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011finin \u00fcretime ve rekabet avantaj\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclmesi bence birbiriyle \u00e7eli\u015fiyor zira benim her zaman savundu\u011fum gibi tar\u0131m\u0131 \u00fclkemizin rekabet\u00e7i \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in hem teknolojik yat\u0131r\u0131m hem de tar\u0131msal istihdamda art\u0131\u015f gerekiyor diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. 109. maddede, yerli \u00fcretimin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda kamu al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n etkin bir ara\u00e7 olarak kullan\u0131m\u0131 vurgusu yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ki bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, kan\u0131mca hem kamu harcama politikas\u0131nda \u00f6deneklerin ekonomik ve verimli kullan\u0131m\u0131 hem de yurti\u00e7i tasarruflar\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 hedefleriyle uyumsuzluk g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
OVP\u2019nin verdi\u011fi ana mesaj, enflasyon hedeflemesinin devam edece\u011fi \u015feklinde ki bunun i\u00e7in h\u00e2liyle i\u00e7 talebin kontrol\u00fcn\u00fcn dayanak noktas\u0131 alaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ekonomimizin adet\u00e2 Bermuda \u015eeytan \u00dc\u00e7geni diyebilece\u011fimiz, b\u00fcy\u00fcme – car\u00ee a\u00e7\u0131k – i\u015fsizlik k\u0131s\u0131r d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnde, i\u00e7 talebin kontrol\u00fcyle car\u00ee a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrece\u011fini dikkate al\u0131rsak, OVP\u2019de belirtilen istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n beklenen d\u00fczeyde olmayaca\u011f\u0131 kendini g\u00f6steriyor. A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131, enflasyon hedeflemesi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrken, mevcut ko\u015fullarda hem b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin hem de istihdam\u0131n nas\u0131l art\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir soru i\u015fareti olu\u015fturuyor bana g\u00f6re. OVP, beklenti y\u00f6netimi ve piyasalara mesaj bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 ve olumlu bir i\u00e7eri\u011fe sahip olsa da k\u0131sa vadede uygulama bak\u0131m\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir de\u011fi\u015fim ve at\u0131l\u0131m getirmesini beklemek fazla iyimserlik olur kan\u0131mca. 2014\u2019te car\u00ee a\u00e7\u0131k k\u0131smen azalsa da ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yetersizli\u011fi ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak i\u015fsizlik, en \u00f6nemli sorunlar\u0131m\u0131z olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecekler, zira i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yeni istihdam\u0131 sa\u011flayacak ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme maalesef uzak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc \/ NationalTurk Haftan\u0131n Yorumu<\/strong><\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" De\u011ferli okurlar\u0131m\u0131n Kurban Bayram\u0131n\u0131 en iyi dileklerimle kutluyorum, sa\u011fl\u0131k ve ne\u015feyle nice g\u00fczel bayramlar\u0131 ya\u015faman\u0131z\u0131 diliyorum.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":150556,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6199,26554,5005,6805],"tags":[195983,11398,86454],"class_list":["post-150555","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-haftanin-yorumu","category-manset","category-turkiye","tag-emre-gollu","tag-emre-gollu-yazilari","tag-orta-vadeli-program"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150555","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=150555"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150555\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/150556"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=150555"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=150555"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=150555"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}