{"id":157296,"date":"2014-01-20T15:00:48","date_gmt":"2014-01-20T13:00:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=157296"},"modified":"2014-01-20T15:00:48","modified_gmt":"2014-01-20T13:00:48","slug":"dolar-2-25-tlyi-gordu-piyasalar-panikte-157296","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/dolar-2-25-tlyi-gordu-piyasalar-panikte-157296\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar 2.25 TL’yi g\u00f6rd\u00fc, piyasalar panikte"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/h1>\n

Bankalararas\u0131 piyasada 2.25 TL’ye y\u00fckselen ABD dolar\u0131 piyasalar\u0131 pani\u011fe s\u00fcr\u00fckledi. Uzmanlar art\u0131\u015f\u0131n kayg\u0131 verici seviyeye geldi\u011fini belirtirken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar da zararlar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck oldu\u011funu belirtiyor.<\/h1>\n

Sakarya \u00dcniversitesi (SA\u00dc) \u0130ktisadi ve \u0130dari Bilimler Fak\u00fcltesi \u00d6\u011fretim \u00dcyesi Do\u00e7. Dr. Mahmut Bilen, dolar\u0131n bankalararas\u0131 piyasada tarihinin en y\u00fcksek seviyesi 2,2509 liraya ula\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin, “Kurun y\u00fckselmesi, T\u00fcrkiye’de biraz daha politik riskle alakal\u0131, risk unsuru artt\u0131k\u00e7a yukar\u0131 do\u011fru gidecek gibi bir endi\u015fe s\u00f6z konusu” dedi.<\/p>\n

Bilen, AA muhabirine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, dolar kurunun belirsizlik i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011funu kaydederek, T\u00fcrkiye’de son d\u00f6nemde kamuda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan politik geli\u015fmelerle ilgili istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n, h\u00fck\u00fcmete d\u00f6n\u00fck endi\u015feler ve risklerin, yabanc\u0131lar\u0131n politik istikrara ili\u015fkin belirsizlik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesinin i\u00e7eride daha istikrarl\u0131 paraya d\u00f6n\u00fck e\u011filimin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

“Bu belirsizli\u011fi g\u00f6ze almak istemeyenler, TL’den d\u00f6vize ge\u00e7me y\u00f6n\u00fcnde tutum i\u00e7inde” diyen Bilen, “\u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn y\u00fcksek miktardaki d\u00f6viz cinsinden bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok ciddi bir fakt\u00f6r oldu\u011funu g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmemek gerekir. Kurun ne kadar daha oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fi konusu \u00e7ok belirsiz, niteli\u011fini koruyor. Kurun y\u00fckselmesi, T\u00fcrkiye’de biraz daha politik riskle alakal\u0131, risk unsuru artt\u0131k\u00e7a yukar\u0131 do\u011fru gidecek gibi bir endi\u015fe s\u00f6z konusu” \u015feklinde konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Bilen, Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz koridorunun \u00fcst band\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekip \u00e7ekmeme konusundaki tutumuna ili\u015fkin, “Merkez Bankas\u0131, faizi yukar\u0131 do\u011fru \u00e7ekse de ki bunun i\u00e7in asl\u0131nda ge\u00e7 kald\u0131. Ge\u00e7 kalm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131n\u0131n piyasadaki oyuncular\u0131n buna d\u00f6n\u00fck, bundan sonra ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131n ne kadar kurun kontrol\u00fc konusunda sinyal olu\u015fturabilir, o \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k de\u011fil. Merkez Bankas\u0131, faizi y\u00fckseltmeye d\u00f6n\u00fck e\u011filim i\u00e7inde olsa bile kuru kontrol etme konusunda yeterli olaca\u011f\u0131 kanaatim \u00e7ok pozitif de\u011fil. Bir \u015fekilde kur zaten yukar\u0131 do\u011fru gidecek. Ayr\u0131ca ekonomi i\u00e7in faiz maliyetini kurun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ikinci unsur olarak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131ya y\u00fcklemek, b\u00fcy\u00fcme konusunda daha ciddi handikab\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn de g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmeyecek kayg\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum” ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar da kayg\u0131l\u0131<\/h2>\n

Borsa Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Derne\u011fi (BORYAD) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ali Bah\u00e7uvan, “Son d\u00f6nemde d\u00f6viz fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan kayg\u0131 ile izlenmektedir” dedi.<\/p>\n

BORYAD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ali Bah\u00e7uvan, yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaz\u0131l\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, son d\u00f6nemde d\u00f6viz fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan kayg\u0131yla izlendi\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi ge\u00e7mi\u015fte ya\u015fanan bir\u00e7ok krize oranla daha sa\u011flam bir durumda iken uygulanan yanl\u0131\u015f politikalar\u0131n, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck zararlara u\u011framas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunan Bah\u00e7uvan, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n

“\u00d6ncelikle dalgal\u0131 kur politikas\u0131 uyguland\u0131\u011f\u0131 iddia edilen bir \u00fclkede faiz oran\u0131n\u0131n sabit tutulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 mant\u0131k d\u0131\u015f\u0131d\u0131r. Bu politika dalgal\u0131 kur de\u011fil bir nevi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz, y\u00fcksek kur politikas\u0131 haline gelmi\u015ftir ki T\u00fcrkiye 1994 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu politikan\u0131n ne kadar a\u011f\u0131r bir krize yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Faiz lobisi, faizleri artt\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor gibi bir iddiay\u0131 ortaya atarak Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131 tek kolu ba\u011fl\u0131 sava\u015fmaya mecbur b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f durumday\u0131z. D\u00fcnya piyasalar\u0131nda paran\u0131n en bol oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemde pozitif reel faiz verirken, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde para \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ortamda negatif reel faiz verelim, T\u00fcrkiye’ye gel d\u00f6viz baz\u0131nda zarar et diyerek nas\u0131l k\u0131sa vadeli s\u0131cak paray\u0131 \u00e7ekeriz?”<\/p>\n

Bah\u00e7uvan, d\u00f6viz kurundaki art\u0131\u015f enflasyona yans\u0131maz diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen kesimlerin yan\u0131lg\u0131ya u\u011frayacaklar\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131nda bulunarak, “Bu varsay\u0131m d\u00f6vizde keskin \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemler i\u00e7in ortaya konmu\u015f bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma de\u011fildir. D\u00f6vizdeki hareketlilik i\u00e7in gereken tedbirleri almayanlara 1994 krizini yak\u0131ndan incelemelerini tavsiye ederiz. Bug\u00fcn gelinen noktada ekonomide acil olarak radikal tedbirler al\u0131nmaz ise \u00fclke son 10 y\u0131lda elde etti\u011fi kazan\u0131mlar\u0131 kaybedebilir. Borsa taraf\u0131nda ise dolar baz\u0131nda kayb\u0131n \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131, endeksin daha fazla de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemi\u015ftir” yorumunu yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bah\u00e7uvan, piyasalar\u0131n ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n son ya\u015fanan \u00e7alkalanmalar\u0131n ekonomi y\u00f6netimi taraf\u0131ndan daha fazla \u00f6nemsenmesini ve acil tedbirler al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini de kaydetti.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bankalararas\u0131 piyasada 2.25 TL’ye y\u00fckselen ABD dolar\u0131 piyasalar\u0131 pani\u011fe s\u00fcr\u00fckledi. Uzmanlar art\u0131\u015f\u0131n kayg\u0131 verici seviyeye geldi\u011fini belirtirken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar da zararlar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck oldu\u011funu belirtiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":175828,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6199,6155,5005,349,6805],"tags":[151770,32960,151776,151775,151774,26054,151771,151772,25079,151773],"class_list":["post-157296","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-gundem","category-manset","category-son-dakika","category-turkiye","tag-2-25","tag-abd-dolari","tag-ali-bahcuvan","tag-borsa-yatirimcilari-dernegi","tag-boryad","tag-dolar","tag-dolar-2-25","tag-mahmut-bilen","tag-sakarya-universitesi","tag-tl-dolar"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157296","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=157296"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157296\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/175828"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=157296"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=157296"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=157296"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}