{"id":195447,"date":"2014-09-18T17:28:43","date_gmt":"2014-09-18T14:28:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=195447"},"modified":"2014-09-18T17:28:43","modified_gmt":"2014-09-18T14:28:43","slug":"dolar-son-6-ayin-zirvesinde-195447","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/dolar-son-6-ayin-zirvesinde-195447\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar son 6 ay\u0131n zirvesinde"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-195448\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/dolarrrr-280x209.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"280\" height=\"209\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/dolarrrr-280x209.jpg 280w, https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/dolarrrr.jpg 343w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 280px) 100vw, 280px\" \/><\/p>\n<h1>ABD Dolar\u0131, \u00a0bankalararas\u0131 piyasada 2,2353 seviyesine kadar \u00e7\u0131karak son alt\u0131 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/h1>\n<p>ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n (Fed) d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan kararlar\u0131 ve Ba\u015fkan Janet Yellen&#8217;\u0131n bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131ndaki s\u00f6ylemleriyle k\u00fcresel piyasalarda dolara talebin artmas\u0131, dolar\u0131n di\u011fer para birimleri ve emtialar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar\/TL, Fed kararlar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan g\u00fcne 2,2239 seviyesinden ba\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek 2,2353 ile 25 Mart&#8217;tan bu yana g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyine ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Analistler, Fed&#8217;in beklentilerden \u00f6nce faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gidebilece\u011fi ve faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n piyasa tahminlerinden h\u0131zl\u0131 olabilece\u011fi endi\u015felerinin, geli\u015fen \u00fclke varl\u0131klar\u0131yla birlikte TL varl\u0131klar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011funu belirterek, avro\/TL&#8217;nin de avro\/dolar paritesindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyre kar\u015f\u0131n d\u00fcnk\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015fa g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,6 art\u0131\u015fla 2,8827&#8217;ye kadar y\u00fckseldi\u011fine dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>AA muhabirine konuya ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulunan ALB Menkul De\u011ferler Ara\u015ft\u0131rma M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Yeliz Karabulut, d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan Fed kararlar\u0131nda as\u0131l \u00f6nemli noktan\u0131n 2015 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin faiz beklentilerinin yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekilmesi oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131. Bu nedenle dolarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc anlatan Karabulut, di\u011fer taraftan Yellen&#8217;\u0131n \u015fahinle\u015fen bir s\u00f6ylem de\u011fi\u015fikli bulundu\u011funa i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n<p>Karabulut, &#8220;Yellen, faizlerdeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ekonomik aktiviteye ba\u011flad\u0131 ve belli bir k\u0131stas vermedi. Biz bundan, ABD&#8217;de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak her iyi veri, \u00f6zellikle geli\u015fen piyasalarda sert hareketlere neden olabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kartt\u0131k. Verilerin ABD taraf\u0131nda iyi gelmeye devam etmesi durumunda, cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek ve k\u0131r\u0131lgan be\u015fli olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan \u00fclke borsalar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe neden olabilecek ve o \u00fclkelerin para birimlerinin de dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybetmesine yol a\u00e7abilecek bir s\u00fcrece girdi\u011fimizi s\u00f6yleyebilirim&#8221; diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u00f6ylem de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ve faiz beklentilerindeki art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle dolar\/TL&#8217;de 2,2250 seviyesinin k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 an\u0131msatan Karabulut, ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda dolardaki de\u011fer kazanc\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, avro\/dolar paritesinde ise 1,29 seviyesinin a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Karabulut, dolar\/TL i\u00e7in 2,2250 seviyesinin \u00f6nemli bir diren\u00e7 seviyesi oldu\u011funu vurgulayarak, \u015f\u00f6yle konu\u015ftu:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Dolar\/TL o seviyelere do\u011fru birka\u00e7 kez hamle yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Birka\u00e7 saat \u00f6nce bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Daha do\u011frusu dolar\/TL&#8217;nin 2,2250-2,2280 seviyelerinin bulundu\u011fu b\u00f6lgeyi a\u015fmamas\u0131 gerekiyordu ancak a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Dolar\/TL&#8217;nin, 2,2250 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde tutunmaya devam etmesi halinde \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde 2,25-2,27 seviyesine do\u011fru bir hareketlenme g\u00f6rebiliriz.<\/p>\n<p>Kar realizasyonundan bahsedebilmek i\u00e7in 2,20&#8217;nin alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015flar\u0131n olmas\u0131 gerekiyor ki bu durumun \u015fu an epey bir uza\u011f\u0131nday\u0131z. Bununla birlikte dolar\/TL&#8217;de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketler, kar realizasyonlar\u0131 ya da durulmalar piyasa taraf\u0131ndan al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Buradaki geli\u015fmelerin borsa ve faiz taraf\u0131nda da reaksiyonu olacakt\u0131r. Yani dolar\/TL&#8217;deki geli\u015fmelerin faiz ve endeks taraf\u0131nda negatif etkisi olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Bununla birlikte g\u00f6sterge tahvilin bile\u015fik faizinde de y\u00fczde 9,50 seviyesinin takip edilmesi gerek.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Janet Yellen, &#8220;b\u00fcy\u00fck durgunlu\u011fun&#8221;, bir\u00e7ok Amerikal\u0131 ailenin finansal krizlere kar\u015f\u0131 &#8221;ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc derecede savunmas\u0131z&#8221; oldu\u011funu ortaya koydu\u011funu belirterek, \u00e7ok k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 varl\u0131\u011fa sahip olan bu ailelerin, birikimlerini art\u0131rabilmeleri i\u00e7in desteklenmesi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Yellen, Washington merkezli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu &#8220;Corporation for Enterprise Development&#8221;\u0131n bug\u00fcn d\u00fczenlenen konferans\u0131na banttan yay\u0131nlanan bir konu\u015fmayla kat\u0131ld\u0131. K\u0131sa konu\u015fmas\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok Amerikal\u0131 ailenin finansal durumunun 2007-2009 krizinden \u00f6ncekine k\u0131yasla daha k\u00f6t\u00fc oldu\u011funu vurgulayan Yellen, bunun, d\u00fc\u015fen konut fiyatlar\u0131 ve gelirlerden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Yellen, Fed&#8217;in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anketlere g\u00f6re sadece 400 dolarl\u0131k beklenmedik bir masraf\u0131n Amerikal\u0131 ailelerin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc bor\u00e7lanmak zorunda b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti. \u00dclkedeki 25 milyon hane halk\u0131n\u0131n 2013 y\u0131l\u0131 net varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n 6 bin 400 dolarla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funa ve bir\u00e7o\u011funun hi\u00e7bir birikimi bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkati \u00e7eken Yellen, bu ailelerin tasarruflar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racak k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ad\u0131mlar atabilmeleri i\u00e7in desteklenmesi gerekti\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi.<\/p>\n<p>Yellen, d\u00fcn de Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan d\u00fczenlenen bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda, Fed&#8217;in faiz politikas\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmedi\u011fini ve faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na tahvil al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n bitiminden &#8220;kayda de\u011fer&#8221; bir s\u00fcre sonra ba\u015flanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Yellen&#8217;\u0131n bug\u00fcnk\u00fc konu\u015fmas\u0131 ise Fed&#8217;in politikalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin herhangi bir de\u011ferlendirme i\u00e7ermedi.<\/p>\n<!-- Error, Advert is not available at this time due to schedule\/geolocation restrictions! -->\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ABD Dolar\u0131,  bankalararas\u0131 piyasada 2,2353 seviyesine kadar \u00e7\u0131karak son alt\u0131 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":173572,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6199,6155,5005,6805],"tags":[32960,48625,173383,8595,173385,173386],"class_list":["post-195447","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-gundem","category-manset","category-turkiye","tag-abd-dolari","tag-dolar-ne-kadar","tag-dolar-zirve","tag-fed","tag-fed-kararlari","tag-janet-yellen"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195447","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=195447"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195447\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/173572"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=195447"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=195447"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=195447"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}