{"id":210687,"date":"2015-04-28T11:15:04","date_gmt":"2015-04-28T08:15:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=210687"},"modified":"2015-04-28T11:15:04","modified_gmt":"2015-04-28T08:15:04","slug":"abd-dolari-2016-sonuna-kadar-guclu-seyrini-surdurecek-210687","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/abd-dolari-2016-sonuna-kadar-guclu-seyrini-surdurecek-210687\/","title":{"rendered":"“ABD Dolar\u0131 2016 sonuna kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek”"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

Capital Economics Ba\u015fekonomisti John Higgins, ‘ABD ve ba\u015fl\u0131ca ticaret ortaklar\u0131n\u0131n para politikalar\u0131n\u0131n, dolar\u0131 desteklemeye devam edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum’ dedi.<\/h1>\n

ABD’de bu hafta ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde artan dolar talebi k\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131 bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda tutmaya devam ederken, uzmanlar Fed’in faizleri art\u0131rmas\u0131 halinde dolardaki rallinin s\u00fcrece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde birle\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n

FOMC, iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck toplant\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Fed, ekonomiyi desteklemek i\u00e7in 2008’den bu yana g\u00f6sterge faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n seviyede tutarken, uzmanlar haziran ay\u0131ndan \u00f6nce faiz oranlar\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fim beklemiyor.<\/p>\n

AA muhabirine konuya ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulunan Higgins, dolar\u0131n ge\u00e7en hafta boyunca, di\u011fer para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda rallisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirterek, “ABD ve ba\u015fl\u0131ca ticaret ortaklar\u0131n\u0131n para politikalar\u0131n\u0131n, dolar\u0131 desteklemeye devam edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum” dedi.<\/p>\n

Son 4 y\u0131la bir b\u00fct\u00fcn olarak bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, dolardaki rallinin beklentilerden ayr\u0131\u015farak, ABD ve di\u011fer yerlerdeki k\u0131sa vadeli faiz oranlar\u0131yla \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc dile getiren Higgins, \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/p>\n

“Spesifik fakt\u00f6rlerin de olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n, dolar\u0131n zay\u0131f kalmas\u0131na katk\u0131da bulunan ve g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde bulunmayan 2 \u00f6nemli f\u0131rsat vard\u0131; Fed taraf\u0131ndan 1994 y\u0131l\u0131nda para politikas\u0131n\u0131n beklenmedik h\u0131zda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve 2004 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 geni\u015fleme… G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde ise ABD’nin geleneksel olmayan para politikas\u0131, ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve ticaret partnerlerine ili\u015fkin beklentilerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Avro B\u00f6lgesi’ndeki Yunanistan’\u0131n gelece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik belirsizlik yak\u0131n gelecekte de dolar\u0131 destekleyici unsurlar aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.”<\/p>\n

Higgins, di\u011fer para birimlerinin, dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesini ve dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonuna kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini bekledi\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi.<\/p>\n

– “Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131nda acele etmeyecek”<\/p>\n

AMP Capital Yat\u0131r\u0131m Stratejisi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve Ba\u015fekonomisti Shane Oliver ise ABD’de ekonomik verilerin bu hafta kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiledi\u011fine i\u015faret ederek, konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerin \u00fczerinde art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini an\u0131msatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte yeni konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n da beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Oliver, \u0130malat Sanayi Sat\u0131nalma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi’nin (PMI) ise nispeten g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir seviyede kalmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n martta s\u00fcrpriz bir \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n

Oliver, bu nedenle ABD’de bu hafta ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvercin bir tonda ge\u00e7mesini bekledi\u011fini dile getirerek, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n

“Faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131nda acele etmeyeceklerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Fed ve Ba\u015fkan Janet Yellen nisan ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmayaca\u011f\u0131 sinyalini vermi\u015fti. Bu nedenle piyasalar yay\u0131mlanan toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m s\u00fcrecine ili\u015fkin verilen ipu\u00e7lar\u0131na odaklanacak. Baz\u0131 Fed \u00fcyeleri hala faizlerin haziran ay\u0131nda art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na s\u0131cak bakarken, \u00e7o\u011funluk eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 ya da daha sonraki bir zaman dilimi i\u00e7in harekete ge\u00e7ilmesini uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Son enflasyon verileri dip seviyelere i\u015faret ediyor ama kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ekonomik veriler, y\u0131l boyunca y\u00fckselen dolar\u0131n olumsuz etkisiyle birle\u015fti\u011finde Fed’in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7in acele etmesine bir gerek\u00e7e olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor. Ger\u00e7ek \u015fu ki haziran ay\u0131 gibi faizlerde art\u0131r\u0131ma gidilmesi, \u00f6zellikle dolar\u0131n daha fazla y\u00fckselmesine neden olarak ABD’ye ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye zarar verebilir. Benim temel tahminime g\u00f6re Fed faizleri eyl\u00fclde art\u0131racak ama bu konuda riskler daha sonraya da\u011f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f durumda.”<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Capital Economics Ba\u015fekonomisti John Higgins, ‘ABD ve ba\u015fl\u0131ca ticaret ortaklar\u0131n\u0131n para politikalar\u0131n\u0131n, dolar\u0131 desteklemeye devam edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum’ dedi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":210689,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6768,6665,6199,6155,5005,6202],"tags":[32960,48625,23509],"class_list":["post-210687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-amerika","category-dunya","category-ekonomi","category-gundem","category-manset","category-politika","tag-abd-dolari","tag-dolar-ne-kadar","tag-john-higgins"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/210687","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=210687"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/210687\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/210689"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=210687"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=210687"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=210687"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}