ABD’de 8 Kas\u0131m’da yap\u0131lacak ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imi i\u00e7in yar\u0131\u015f devam ederken 15 Mart’ta Florida, Ohio, Illinois, Missouri ve Kuzey Carolina’da d\u00fczenlenecek \u00f6n se\u00e7imlerin her iki partideki adayl\u0131k s\u00fcrecinin gidi\u015fat\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda netle\u015ftirmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6zellikle Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerde Trump ile partinin \u00f6nde gelenleri aras\u0131nda so\u011fuk r\u00fczgarlar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde Florida ve Ohio’daki \u00f6n se\u00e7imler, Trump kar\u015f\u0131tlar\u0131 i\u00e7in “son \u015fans” anlam\u0131na gelebilir. Zira \u015fimdiye kadarki 25 eyaletin 15’ini kazanan ve toplamda 460 delegesi olan Trump, 367 delegenin da\u011f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 15 Mart \u00f6n se\u00e7imlerinden, adayl\u0131k i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcndeki engelleri kald\u0131rarak \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer Cumhuriyet\u00e7i aday adaylar\u0131ndan Florida Senat\u00f6r\u00fc Marco Rubio ile Ohio Valisi John Kasich’in kendi se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgelerinde kazanmalar\u0131, Trump kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 kesimlerin en b\u00fcy\u00fck beklentisi durumunda.<\/p>\n
– Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerde Rubio ve Kasich i\u00e7in “son \u015fans” olabilir<\/p>\n
Bu iki eyalet de se\u00e7imi kazanan aday aday\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm delegeleri alaca\u011f\u0131 (winner-take-all) yerler oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in hem Trump hem de rakipleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hayati derecede \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
99 delegeli Florida’da kazanamamas\u0131 halinde Rubio, 66 delegeli Ohio’yu kazanamamas\u0131 halinde de Kasich yar\u0131\u015fta ciddi bi\u00e7imde geri d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olacak ve bu senaryoda her iki aday aday\u0131 \u00fczerinde de “yar\u0131\u015ftan \u00e7ekilme bask\u0131s\u0131” olu\u015fabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirmesi yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u015eu ana kadar sadece 3 eyalette kazanan ve 163 delegesi bulunan Rubio ile hi\u00e7 se\u00e7im kazanamayan ve sadece 63 delegeye sahip olan Kasich i\u00e7in 15 Mart, ba\u015fkanl\u0131k yar\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki “son \u015fans” olabilir.<\/p>\n
Trump’\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yar\u0131\u015f\u0131 ikinci s\u0131rada g\u00f6t\u00fcren Teksas Senat\u00f6r\u00fc Ted Cruz ise Trump ile Rubio ve Kasich aras\u0131ndaki rekabetten karl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kman\u0131n hesaplar\u0131n\u0131 yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u015eu ana kadar 7 eyalette kazanan ve 370 delegeye sahip olan Cruz, di\u011fer iki rakibinin kendi se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgelerinde kaybetmesi halinde yar\u0131\u015fta Trump ile ba\u015f ba\u015fa kalabilir.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcm bu matematik hesaplar\u0131 aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan son anketlerde Trump, Florida’da Rubio’nun yakla\u015f\u0131k 18 puan \u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcrken Ohio’da Kasich, son g\u00fcnlerdeki ata\u011f\u0131yla Trump’\u0131n birka\u00e7 puan \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7mi\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
– Demokratlarda Clinton avantajl\u0131<\/p>\n
Demokratlarda ise 15 Mart \u00f6n se\u00e7imleri i\u00e7in \u00e7izilen tablonun, Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilere k\u0131yasla daha basit ve net oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek \u00f6n se\u00e7imler i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan anketlerde, Florida’da rakibi Vermont Senat\u00f6r\u00fc Bernie Sanders’\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k ara \u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00f6z\u00fcken Clinton, di\u011fer 4 eyaletin 3’\u00fcnde yine listenin ba\u015f\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u015eimdiye kadar yap\u0131lan 23 \u00f6n se\u00e7imde 12 eyalet ve 2 b\u00f6lgede \u00f6n se\u00e7imleri kazanan Clinton, (467’si s\u00fcper delege) toplam bin 237 delegeye ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 9 eyalette \u00f6n se\u00e7imleri kazanan Sanders ise (26’s\u0131 s\u00fcper delege) toplam 579 delegenin deste\u011fini ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Demokrat aday adaylar\u0131 15 Mart \u00f6n se\u00e7imlerinde 691 delegeyi aralar\u0131nda payla\u015facaklar. \u015eu anda olduk\u00e7a avantajl\u0131 g\u00f6z\u00fcken Clinton, daha fazla say\u0131da delege \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131 halinde Sanders’la aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131 ciddi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde a\u00e7acak.<\/p>\n
Florida, 246 delegesiyle Demokratlar i\u00e7in de “hedef eyalet” konumunda bulunuyor ve burada anketlerde a\u00e7\u0131k ara \u00f6nde olan Clinton’\u0131n kazanmas\u0131 durumunda ba\u015fkan adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in son d\u00fczl\u00fc\u011fe girece\u011fi yorumlar\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k yar\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki “kilit eyaletler” aras\u0131nda yer alan Florida ve Ohio \u00f6n se\u00e7imlerinin, hem Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler hem de Demokratlar aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fccadelenin seyrini \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde belirlemesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
ABD’de Demokratlarda eski D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Hillary Clinton’\u0131n, Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerde ise i\u015f adam\u0131 Donald Trump’\u0131n \u00f6nde g\u00f6t\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ba\u015fkanl\u0131k yar\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kritik e\u015fik olarak de\u011ferlendirilen 15 Mart \u00f6n se\u00e7imleri, her iki partideki tabloyu b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda netle\u015ftirebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":227848,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6768,6665,6155,5005],"tags":[1887,90402,199658,7571],"class_list":["post-227847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-amerika","category-dunya","category-gundem","category-manset","tag-abd","tag-abd-baskanlik-secimi","tag-donald-trump","tag-hillary-clinton"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/227847","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=227847"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/227847\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/227848"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=227847"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=227847"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=227847"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}