G\u00fcrses’in “Y\u00fczde 48 zamm\u0131n perde arkas\u0131” ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 yaz\u0131s\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle;<\/p>\n
Yap-i\u015flet-devret (Y\u0130D) modeli \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yap\u0131lan Osmangazi ve Yavuz Sultan K\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc ile Avrasya T\u00fcneli projelerinin bedelini, devletin verdi\u011fi garanti nedeniyle, ge\u00e7en de ge\u00e7meyen de \u00f6d\u00fcyordu. Ama \u015fimdi eski mevcuda y\u00fcklenen zamlarla, \u2018ba\u015fka k\u00f6pr\u00fclerden ge\u00e7enler\u2019 de ilaveten \u00f6deyecek! Eski k\u00f6pr\u00fc ve otoyollara yap\u0131lan zamla net 180 milyon TL ilave kaynak yarat\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n
YILIN son g\u00fcn\u00fc \u201cOsmangazi K\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccretinde y\u00fczde 26 indirim, \u0130stanbul\u2019daki iki k\u00f6pr\u00fcn\u00fcn ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccretine y\u00fczde 48 zam\u201d haberini duyunca ilk akl\u0131ma gelen \u015fuydu; Yap-\u0130\u015flet-Devret (Y\u0130D) modeli kamu \u00f6zel i\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yap\u0131lan k\u00f6pr\u00fc ve otoyol finansman\u0131nda yeni bir \u2018kat\u0131l\u0131m\u2019 sa\u011flan\u0131yordu. Osmangazi K\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc benzeri Y\u0130D projelerinin bedelini, devletin verdi\u011fi garanti nedeniyle, ge\u00e7en de ge\u00e7meyen de \u00f6d\u00fcyordu; ama \u015fimdi eski mevcuda y\u00fcklenen zamlarla, \u2018ba\u015fka k\u00f6pr\u00fclerden ge\u00e7enler\u2019 de ilaveten \u00f6deyecek!<\/p>\n\n
Malum, devletin \u00f6zel kesim \u015firketlerine, in\u015fa etmeleri ve uzun y\u0131llarca i\u015fletme hakk\u0131n\u0131 almalar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yapt\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00f6pr\u00fc ve otoyollar i\u00e7in bu \u015firketlere ayr\u0131ca b\u00fct\u00e7eden \u00f6denmek \u00fczere has\u0131lat garantisi taahh\u00fct ediliyor. B\u00f6ylece \u00f6zel \u015firketlere, beklenen has\u0131lat\u0131 sa\u011flayamazlarsa devlet b\u00fct\u00e7esinden bir \u00f6deme yap\u0131l\u0131yor. \u0130lk \u00f6rneklerden biri ge\u00e7en yaz i\u015fletmeye a\u00e7\u0131lan Osmangazi K\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc idi. Dolar bazl\u0131 fiyatlama o kadar y\u00fcksekti ki ge\u00e7en ara\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalaca\u011f\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndan belli idi. \u0130ndirimli tarife uygulanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n yine de \u00f6yle olaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bunun anlam\u0131; ge\u00e7en de \u00f6deyecekti, ge\u00e7meyen de. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00fcnl\u00fck 40 bin ara\u00e7 ge\u00e7i\u015fi devlet ad\u0131na s\u00f6zle\u015fme ile garanti edilmi\u015fti. Hem d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutulan ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti ile i\u015fletmeci \u015firketlerin devletle yapt\u0131klar\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmede belirlenen ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti aras\u0131ndaki fark; hem de g\u00fcnl\u00fck olarak garanti edilen 40 bin ara\u00e7 ile ge\u00e7en ara\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark \u00f6denecekti. Kamu kesesinden yap\u0131lan bu \u00f6demeler, ge\u00e7meyenin de \u00f6demesi anlam\u0131na geliyordu.<\/p>\n
Osmangazi K\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019nden sonra, g\u00fcnl\u00fck 135 bin ge\u00e7i\u015f garantili Yavuz Sultan Selim K\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc ve otoyolu, g\u00fcnl\u00fck 68 bin 500 ge\u00e7i\u015f garantili Avrasya T\u00fcneli gibi Y\u0130D projeleri hayata ge\u00e7ti. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u2018taksimetre\u2019 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. As\u0131l ilgin\u00e7 olan, ilk defa 2016 y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131nda ikincisi de bu y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131nda mevcut otoyol ve \u0130stanbul\u2019daki iki k\u00f6pr\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fccret tarifesindeki \u2018fiyatlama\u2019 dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. 2016 y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131nda hem y\u00fczde 16 zam yap\u0131l\u0131yor, hem de HGS ve OGS ge\u00e7i\u015flerine uygulanan y\u00fczde 20 indirim geri \u00e7ekiliyordu. B\u00f6ylece bir gecede k\u00f6pr\u00fc ve otoyol ge\u00e7i\u015fleri y\u00fczde 39 zamlan\u0131yordu.
\n\u0130\u015fte ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f bu y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131nda yap\u0131ld\u0131; otoyollarda y\u00fczde 15, k\u00f6pr\u00fclerde y\u00fczde 48\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015f. \u0130stanbul\u2019da y\u0131lda 150 milyon adetlik ge\u00e7i\u015f yap\u0131lan iki k\u00f6pr\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fccretinde son iki y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 105\u2019i ge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n\n
2016\u2019da 2015\u2019e g\u00f6re iki k\u00f6pr\u00fcden ge\u00e7en ara\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131 kabaca 5.5 milyon azalm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu y\u00fczden 2016 has\u0131lat\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f olmayacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Olas\u0131l\u0131kla 2017 has\u0131lat\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 48 zam yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n
2016\u2019daki fiili y\u00fczde 39\u2019luk zam, Karayollar\u0131 Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn otoyol has\u0131lat\u0131na da yans\u0131m\u0131\u015f; otoyollardan sa\u011flanan has\u0131lat zam oran\u0131 kadar y\u00fczde 39\u2019a yak\u0131n artacak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Hen\u00fcz a\u00e7\u0131klanmam\u0131\u015f Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 has\u0131lat\u0131 i\u00e7in ortalama bir de\u011fer girilerek yap\u0131lacak hesapla; Karayollar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 2016\u2019da elde edece\u011fi br\u00fct has\u0131lat\u0131n kabaca y\u00fczde 39\u2019luk bir art\u0131\u015fla 266 milyon TL daha fazla olaca\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. B\u00f6ylece 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 1.2 milyar TL\u2019lik bir gelirle kapat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olacak.<\/p>\n
\u015eimdi 2017 i\u00e7in her ikisi de enflasyonu \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde olmak \u00fczere, k\u00f6pr\u00fclere y\u00fczde 48, otoyollara da y\u00fczde 15 zamla beklenen \u015fu olmal\u0131; ge\u00e7en ara\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f olmayaca\u011f\u0131 gibi muhafazakar bir varsay\u0131mla, toplam has\u0131lat kabaca 1.5 milyar TL civar\u0131nda olacak. Bu y\u00fczde 23\u2019l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f demek.<\/p>\n
Enflasyondan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131rsak; net 180 milyon TL ilave kaynak demek. B\u00f6ylece, \u0130stanbul\u2019da iki k\u00f6pr\u00fcden ge\u00e7enler ile t\u00fcm T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de paral\u0131 devlet otoyollar\u0131n\u0131 kullananlar; \u00f6dedikleri vergilerin yan\u0131nda bir de bu k\u00f6pr\u00fc ve otoyollara enflasyonun \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde \u00f6dedikleri ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccretleri ile \u015fimdilik \u00fc\u00e7 Y\u0130D projesini de finanse ediyor olacaklar; 2017 zamlar\u0131 ile sa\u011flanan, Osmangazi K\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn bir ayl\u0131k kamu taahh\u00fcd\u00fcne ancak yetecek kadar olsa da!<\/p>\n
OSMANgazi K\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccretinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi sonucu \u00f6zel i\u015fletmecilerin bir kayb\u0131 yok. Olas\u0131l\u0131kla indirimi kamu kesimi bunu talep etti; nas\u0131l olsa 40 dolar \u00fczerinden 40 bin ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00f6deme taahh\u00fcd\u00fc var. As\u0131l, \u00fccret d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ile yurtta\u015flar\u0131n ge\u00e7i\u015fleri te\u015fvik edilmek isteniyor. Belli ki \u2018has\u0131lat artacak ve kamu kesiminin katk\u0131 pay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fecek\u2019 beklentisi vard\u0131. Y\u00fczde 26\u2019l\u0131k fiyat indirimi ile ayn\u0131 has\u0131lat\u0131 bile tutturmak i\u00e7in talebin y\u00fczde 35 artmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Ama\u00e7 bunun \u00fczeri tabi ki. Fiyat esnekli\u011fi 1.35\u2019in \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde varsay\u0131lm\u0131\u015f. Yani, fiyat y\u00fczde 10 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, talebin y\u00fczde 13.5\u2019in \u00e7ok \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde artaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131. Bu, kamu kesesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan durumu d\u00fczeltmek i\u00e7in do\u011fru bir ad\u0131m. Ancak \u2018oyun teorisi\u2019 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc rakip deniz yolu i\u015fletmecisi de hemen fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Sadece fiyat ayarlamas\u0131 bile, bu projenin hesap-kitab\u0131n\u0131n hi\u00e7 de iyi yap\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, fiyatland\u0131rma ve tahminlerin rasyonel olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da teyidi.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131nda k\u00f6pr\u00fc ve otoyollara yap\u0131lan fahi\u015f zamlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan H\u00fcrriyet yazar\u0131 U\u011fur G\u00fcrses zamm\u0131n perde arkas\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131. G\u00fcrses’in “Y\u00fczde 48 zamm\u0131n perde arkas\u0131” ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 yaz\u0131s\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle; Yap-i\u015flet-devret (Y\u0130D) modeli \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yap\u0131lan Osmangazi ve Yavuz Sultan K\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc ile Avrasya T\u00fcneli projelerinin bedelini, devletin verdi\u011fi garanti nedeniyle, ge\u00e7en de ge\u00e7meyen de \u00f6d\u00fcyordu. Ama \u015fimdi eski mevcuda y\u00fcklenen zamlarla, …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":244347,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6199,6155,5005,6805],"tags":[104992,16423,211327,126248],"class_list":["post-244346","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-gundem","category-manset","category-turkiye","tag-kopru","tag-osmangazi","tag-otoyol-zam","tag-yavuz-sultan-selim"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/244346","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=244346"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/244346\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/244347"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=244346"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=244346"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=244346"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}