Reuters\u2019\u0131n Gezici ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketinden edindi\u011fi ankete g\u00f6re, \u0130Y\u0130 Parti\u2019nin se\u00e7ime girmesi durumunda kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 18.5\u2019i CHP\u2019ye, y\u00fczde 8.8\u2019i MHP\u2019ye ve y\u00fczde 7\u2019si ise HDP\u2019ye oy verece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bu durumda MHP ve HDP TBMM\u2019ye girmek i\u00e7in gerekli olan y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk baraj\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. \u0130Y\u0130 Parti\u2019nin kat\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir erken genel se\u00e7im olmas\u0131 durumunda ise kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 47.1\u2019i AKP\u2019ye, y\u00fczde 26.8\u2019i CHP\u2019ye, y\u00fczde 13.5\u2019u MHP\u2019ye ve y\u00fczde 9.8\u2019i de HDP\u2019ye oy verece\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n
Murat Gezici\u2019nin y\u00f6neticili\u011fini yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Gezici ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketinin 16 Nisan referandum sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 en iyi tahmin eden iki \u015firket aras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n hat\u0131rlat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberde \u015fu sonu\u00e7lara yer verildi; T\u00fcrkiye genelinde 10-15 Ekim g\u00fcnlerinde 4.638 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131yla y\u00fcz y\u00fcze g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme metodu ile y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n hata pay\u0131 g\u00fcven aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde eksi art\u0131 y\u00fczde 2.5 olarak belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Murat Gezici ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 60\u2019\u0131n\u0131n Ak\u015fener\u2019in \u201csiyasi duru\u015funu\u201d olumlu olarak de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini, y\u00fczde 32\u2019sinin ise olumsuz buldu\u011funu ifade ederek, \u015f\u00f6yle konu\u015ftu: \u201cAra\u015ft\u0131rmaya kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n Ak\u015fener parti kurdu\u011funda oy verip vermeyece\u011fine ili\u015fkin da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m incelendi\u011finde y\u00fczde 10.1\u2019i kesinlikle her ko\u015fulda oy verece\u011fini ifade ederken y\u00fczde 19.1\u2019i oy verebilece\u011fini, y\u00fczde 17.8\u2019i karars\u0131z oldu\u011funu ifade etmektedir. Toplumun y\u00fczde 50\u2019sine yak\u0131n bu oran Ak\u015fener’in kurdu\u011fu partiye oy verme potansiyelinin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.\u201d<\/p>\n
Kas\u0131m 2019\u2019da yap\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7iminde halk\u0131n nas\u0131l oy verece\u011fini de irdeleyen ankete g\u00f6re kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lara cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rmek isteyece\u011fi isim soruldu\u011funda y\u00fczde 47,8 oran\u0131nda Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan, y\u00fczde 38 oran\u0131nda Ak\u015fener, y\u00fczde 14.9 oran\u0131nda CHP Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu yan\u0131tlar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.
\nAnket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 yorumlayan Gezici, Ak\u015fener\u2019in \u201ckararl\u0131 ve dik duru\u015fu\u201d ile \u201ckad\u0131n olu\u015funun\u201d halk taraf\u0131ndan takdir g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirterek, \u201cAra\u015ft\u0131rmam\u0131z\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re Ak\u015fener’in g\u00fcven vermesi ve tan\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131yla birlikte oy potansiyelinde ciddi art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zlenmekte\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 44.6\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de yeni bir partiye ihtiya\u00e7 oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da s\u00f6yleyen Gezici, \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti: \u201cMerkez sa\u011f se\u00e7men oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 70 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Olas\u0131 bir Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7iminde Ak\u015fener\u2019in Erdo\u011fan\u2019la birlikte aday olmas\u0131 durumunda ciddi anlamda bir se\u00e7im yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131 \u015fimdiden \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 2002 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana ilk defa merkez sa\u011f se\u00e7meni milli duygularla konsolide edecek s\u00f6ylemleri Ak\u015fener\u2019in kuraca\u011f\u0131 partide g\u00f6rebilme durumunu ortaya koyuyor.\u201d<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Gezici Ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketinin Ekim’deki son anketinde eski MHP’li Meral Ak\u015fener’in kurdu\u011fu \u0130yi Parti’nin olas\u0131 bir erken se\u00e7ime girmesi durumunda y\u00fczde 19.5 oran\u0131nda oy alabilece\u011fi, bu durumda AKP’nin oyunun y\u00fczde 43.8 g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Reuters\u2019\u0131n Gezici ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketinden edindi\u011fi ankete g\u00f6re, \u0130Y\u0130 Parti\u2019nin se\u00e7ime girmesi durumunda kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 18.5\u2019i CHP\u2019ye, y\u00fczde 8.8\u2019i MHP\u2019ye ve y\u00fczde 7\u2019si ise …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":256187,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6155,5005,6202,349],"tags":[8723,186792,213958,213880,5115,99575,787,68695],"class_list":["post-256183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-manset","category-politika","category-son-dakika","tag-chp","tag-gezici","tag-gezici-anket","tag-iyi-parti","tag-kemal-kilicdaroglu","tag-meral-aksener","tag-recep-tayyip-erdogan","tag-son-anketler"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/256183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=256183"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/256183\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/256187"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=256183"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=256183"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=256183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}