\u00c7evikcan’\u0131n “Erken se\u00e7im r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131” ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 yaz\u0131s\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle:
\nSiyasetin g\u00fcndeminde bir s\u00fcredir erken se\u00e7im var.<\/p>\n
Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Tayyip Erdo\u011fan \u201cErken se\u00e7im yok\u201d dese de kulisler hareketli.<\/p>\n
Bu iddialar\u0131 sahay\u0131 iyi tan\u0131yan isimlerden ANAR Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc \u0130brahim Uslu ile konu\u015ftum.<\/p>\n
ANAR\u2019\u0131n son anketine g\u00f6re Ak Parti, 1 Kas\u0131m 2015 se\u00e7iminden 3 puan geride, y\u00fczde 46-47 seviyesinde.<\/p>\n
Ayn\u0131 se\u00e7imde y\u00fczde 11.9 oy alan MHP y\u00fczde 7\u2019ye, y\u00fczde 25 oy alan CHP y\u00fczde 22\u2019ye gerilemi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n
Uslu, kay\u0131plar\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak \u0130Y\u0130 Parti\u2019ye gitti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Karars\u0131zlar\u0131n oran\u0131n\u0131n ise sand\u0131\u011fa gitmeyen y\u00fczde 10 hesapland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u00fczde 15 dolaylar\u0131nda oldu\u011funu belirtiyor.<\/p>\n
ERDO\u011eAN N\u0130YE ERKEN SE\u00c7\u0130ME G\u0130DER?<\/p>\n
Erken se\u00e7im iddialar\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli dayana\u011f\u0131, 2019\u2019da \u00f6nce yerel se\u00e7imin yap\u0131lacak olmas\u0131 ve Ak Parti\u2019nin geleneksel olarak yerel se\u00e7imlerde daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oy almas\u0131.<\/p>\n
Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n, \u00e7ok kritik Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imi ve genel se\u00e7ime d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oy alarak girmek istemeyece\u011fi konu\u015fuluyor.
\nUslu da ayn g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fte:<\/p>\n
\u201cYerel se\u00e7imde daha az oy al\u0131nmas\u0131 muhalefeti cesaretlendirir, Ak Parti se\u00e7meninde de, \u2018oylar bu noktaya d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u2019 alg\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fturabilir. Se\u00e7ime bu alg\u0131yla girilmek istenmez. \u0130kincisi; enflasyon, faiz, i\u015fsizlik \u00e7ift hanelerde. \u00c7arklar d\u00f6n\u00fcyor ancak 2018\u2019de bir \u2018take off\u2019 (y\u00fckselme) g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor. Beklenmek istenmeyebilir.\u201d<\/p>\n
Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n ilkesel olarak erken se\u00e7ime kar\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011fu, MHP\u2019nin de erken se\u00e7im istemedi\u011fi biliniyor.<\/p>\n
Uslu ise Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n bu karar\u0131 vermesi durumunda MHP\u2019nin ikna edilebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n
\u201cMHP\u2019nin hem az oy kayb\u0131na u\u011frayaca\u011f\u0131, hem vekil say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 hem de belki kabineye girece\u011fi bir form\u00fcl olu\u015fturulabilir. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131, erken se\u00e7ime kar\u015f\u0131d\u0131r ama 2007\u2019de oldu\u011fu gibi ko\u015fullar bunu gerektirebilir. 16 Nisan referandumu, bu sistemde y\u00f6netim g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fckleri ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 propagandas\u0131yla kazan\u0131ld\u0131. Buna ra\u011fmen yeni sistem i\u00e7in 2019\u2019a kadar beklemenin makul olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7mene izah edilebilir.\u201d<\/p>\n
Uslu, belediye ba\u015fkanlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftiren, kongrelerini \u015fubat ay\u0131na kadar bitirecek olan, YSK, ta\u015feron ve istihdam d\u00fczenlemeleri yapan Ak Parti\u2019nin gizli bir erken se\u00e7im ajandas\u0131yla hareket etti\u011fini de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.
\nSARRAF VE MAN ETK\u0130S\u0130<\/p>\n
Muhalefet, Ak Parti\u2019nin ABD\u2019deki R\u0131za Sarraf\u2019\u0131n tan\u0131k oldu\u011fu dava ve MAN Adas\u0131 iddialar\u0131 nedeniyle y\u0131prand\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n
Uslu ise Sarraf\u2019\u0131n t\u00fcm se\u00e7menler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, \u201citibars\u0131z, vatanda\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011fu \u00fclkeyi satm\u0131\u015f, her \u015feyi kabule haz\u0131r\u201d bir profil oldu\u011funa dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n
FET\u00d6\u2019c\u00fc firari bir polisin ana tan\u0131klardan oldu\u011fu, 17-25 Aral\u0131k belgelerinin ta\u015f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 dosyan\u0131n se\u00e7men \u00fczerinde etkili olmayaca\u011f\u0131 inanc\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
MAN Adas\u0131 belgeleri konusunda CHP\u2019nin de, \u201csu\u00e7 de\u011fil etik sorun\u201d noktas\u0131na geldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.
\nBu dosyan\u0131n da \u201cunutulur nitelikte\u201d oldu\u011funu belirtiyor.<\/p>\n
Se\u00e7men nezdinde bunlar\u0131n maj\u00f6r bir etkisinin olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Uslu\u2019ya g\u00f6re, etkili olabilecek fakt\u00f6rler ekonomi, K\u00fcrt meselesi ve d\u0131\u015f politika.<\/p>\n
\u201cBeyaz sa\u011fc\u0131lar\u201d diye tarif etti\u011fi, merkeze yak\u0131n Ak Parti se\u00e7meni \u00fczerinde adalet, yarg\u0131 ve OHAL ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n da etkisinin olabilece\u011fini de\u011ferlendiriyor.<\/p>\n
Partiler bir s\u00fcredir yar\u0131n se\u00e7im olacakm\u0131\u015f gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Ankara\u2019da da bu ihtimal daha y\u00fcksek sesle konu\u015fuluyor.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Milliyet Gazetesi Ankara Temsilcisi Serpil \u00c7evikcan, iktidara yak\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla bilinen ANAR Ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015eirketi’nin olas\u0131 bir erken se\u00e7im i\u00e7in yapt\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7im anketini k\u00f6\u015fesine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Ankete g\u00f6re AK Parti ve CHP 3 puan gerilerken, MHP baraj alt\u0131 kal\u0131yor. Uslu, kay\u0131plar\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak \u0130Y\u0130 Parti\u2019ye gitti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u00c7evikcan’\u0131n “Erken se\u00e7im r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131” ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 yaz\u0131s\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle: Siyasetin g\u00fcndeminde bir s\u00fcredir erken …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":256187,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[763,6202],"tags":[3557,9476,8723,12923,213880,10829,13867,74131],"class_list":["post-259221","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gunun-olayi","category-politika","tag-ak-parti","tag-akp","tag-chp","tag-erken-secim","tag-iyi-parti","tag-mhp","tag-secim-anketi","tag-serpil-cevikcan"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/259221","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=259221"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/259221\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/256187"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=259221"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=259221"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=259221"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}