Sebahat Karakoyun’un sorular\u0131n\u0131 yan\u0131tlad\u0131.<\/a><\/p>\n– Son d\u00fczl\u00fc\u011fe girildi, saha g\u00f6zlemleriniz nas\u0131l?<\/p>\n
\u0130ktidar, bu kez rekabeti y\u00f6netmekte biraz zorlan\u0131yor. Bir s\u00fcr\u00fc yenilik var, en \u00f6nemlisi ittifak uygulamas\u0131n\u0131n yan tesirleri. \u0130ki aday\u0131n yar\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 her yerde ekonomik krizin de etkisiyle iktidar zorluk ya\u015f\u0131yor, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc iki aday yar\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fiili b\u00f6lge bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 50 oluyor. AKP y\u00fczde 44 ile Ankara’y\u0131 kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu se\u00e7imde y\u00fczde 44’le a\u00e7\u0131k ara kaybeder. 50+1 zorunlulu\u011fu, ekonomik kriz atmosferinde AK Parti’yi en \u00e7ok zorlayan fakt\u00f6r haline geldi. \u00c7ok say\u0131da se\u00e7im \u00e7evresinde iki aday yar\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. \u0130ki aday\u0131n yar\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 her yerde y\u00fczde 50 zorunlu. Oysa AKP \u00e7ok domine etti\u011fi, Kayseri, Konya, Kahramanmara\u015f, Erzurum gibi yerler hari\u00e7 pek \u00e7ok yerde y\u00fczde 50’den d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oylarla se\u00e7imi rahat kazan\u0131yordu. Bu, MHP i\u00e7in daha y\u00fcksek handikap. T\u00fcrkiye ortalamas\u0131 11 olan bir partinin y\u00fczde 50’ye \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve bunu da tamamen kendi se\u00e7meni olmayanlar \u00fczerinden ba\u015farmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bu yan tesirleri hesaba katmam\u0131\u015f olmak iktidar blokunun yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck hata.<\/p>\n
– Ba\u015fta \u0130stanbul, Ankara gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehirler olmak \u00fczere \u00f6nemli illere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda nas\u0131l bir tablo var?<\/p>\n
\u0130ki aday\u0131n yar\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 her yerde se\u00e7imin ba\u015fa ba\u015f ve kritik ge\u00e7ece\u011fini ortaya koyuyor veriler. \u0130ktidar, Konya, Kayseri, Mara\u015f, Malatya, Erzurum’da, CHP de \u0130zmir de rahat ama onun d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki bir \u00e7ok yerde ciddi rekabet s\u00f6z konusu. \u0130stanbul, Ankara, Adana, Mersin, Antalya, Mu\u011fla, Ayd\u0131n, Denizli, Manisa, Bal\u0131kesir, Bursa, Tekirda\u011f, Eski\u015fehir rekabetin en sert ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 yerler. Bu illerde se\u00e7im ortada. Mu\u011fla, Eski\u015fehir k\u0131smen Tekirda\u011f, CHP’nin rahat kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 yerlerdi. \u015eimdi onlar kar\u015f\u0131da olu\u015fan blok nedeniyle tehdit alt\u0131nda. Ge\u00e7en se\u00e7imde Adana, Mersin, Manisa’y\u0131 MHP \u00e7ok rahat kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u015eimdi oralarda ciddi bir rekabetle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yalar. AKP a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da \u0130stanbul, Ankara, Denizli, Bal\u0131kesir, Bursa’da ciddi rekabet var. \u00c7ok sert rekabet var ancak muhalefet kriz nedeniyle burun fark\u0131yla avantajl\u0131. Totalde “ittifak kime yarad\u0131” derseniz muhalefetin bundan daha karl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 en olas\u0131 senaryo olarak g\u00f6zlemliyorum.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ankara Sosyal Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi (ANAR) Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Dr. \u0130brahim Uslu, 31 Mart 2019’da yap\u0131lacak yerel se\u00e7ime ili\u015fkin saha g\u00f6zlemlerini aktard\u0131. Uslu, “AKP y\u00fczde 44 ile Ankara’y\u0131 kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu se\u00e7imde y\u00fczde 44’le a\u00e7\u0131k ara kaybeder” dedi. Ankara Sosyal Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi (ANAR) Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Dr. \u0130brahim Uslu, Birg\u00fcn’den Sebahat Karakoyun’un sorular\u0131n\u0131 yan\u0131tlad\u0131. – Son d\u00fczl\u00fc\u011fe girildi, saha …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":272378,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6155,5005,6202,349],"tags":[217057,219178,63896,1688,65741,63895],"class_list":["post-274895","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-manset","category-politika","category-son-dakika","tag-2019-secimleri","tag-31-mart-yerel-secimleri","tag-anar","tag-ankara","tag-birgun","tag-ibrahim-uslu"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/274895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=274895"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/274895\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/272378"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=274895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=274895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=274895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}