{"id":287976,"date":"2020-03-26T11:51:36","date_gmt":"2020-03-26T08:51:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=287976"},"modified":"2022-09-06T16:22:18","modified_gmt":"2022-09-06T13:22:18","slug":"oxford-arastirmasi-suru-bagisikligi-kazanildi-bin-kisiden-biri-hastaneye-yatiyor-287976","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/oxford-arastirmasi-suru-bagisikligi-kazanildi-bin-kisiden-biri-hastaneye-yatiyor-287976\/","title":{"rendered":"Oxford ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131: S\u00fcr\u00fc ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kazan\u0131ld\u0131, bin ki\u015fiden sadece biri hastaneye yat\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Oxford \u00fcniversitesindeki ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131n modellemesine g\u00f6re, yeni koronavir\u00fcs, \u0130ngiltere’de bilim adamlar\u0131n\u0131n daha \u00f6nce tahmin etti\u011finden \u00e7ok daha fazla insan\u0131 – belki de n\u00fcfusun yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 – etkilemi\u015f olabilir.<\/p>\n

Epidemiyoloji Profes\u00f6r\u00fc Sunetra Gupta, covid-19 ile enfekte olanlar\u0131n binde birinden daha az\u0131n\u0131n hastanede tedaviye ihtiya\u00e7 duyacak kadar hasta oldu\u011funu tahmin ediyor ve ekliyor: “B\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funluk \u00e7ok hafif semptomlar g\u00f6steriyor ya da hi\u00e7 semptom olmuyor. \u015eu anda salg\u0131n\u0131n hangi a\u015famas\u0131nda oldu\u011fumuzu tam olarak bilmek i\u00e7in derhal serolojik ara\u015ft\u0131rmalara (antikor testi) ba\u015flamam\u0131z gerekiyor.\u201d<\/p>\n

Oxford ekibinin modellemesine g\u00f6re koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 \u0130ngiltere’ye en ge\u00e7 Ocak ay\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 bile. Bir\u00e7ok \u00fclke gibi \u0130ngiltere de ilk vakay\u0131 \u015eubat ay\u0131n\u0131n sonunda ilan etti. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re ise bir aydan fazla bir zamanda vir\u00fcs g\u00f6r\u00fcnmez bir \u015fekilde zaten yay\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\"Profes\u00f6r
Profes\u00f6r Sunetra Gupta<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Fakat ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar \u0130ngiliz h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 karantina dahil sert \u00f6nlemleri hen\u00fcz ele\u015ftirme a\u015famas\u0131nda de\u011fil. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n hen\u00fcz do\u011frulanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, do\u011frulansa bile \u00f6zen g\u00f6sterilen sosyal mesafenin ciddi \u015fekilde hasta say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Oxford ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, \u0130ngiltere ve \u0130talya’dan gelen vaka ve \u00f6l\u00fcm raporlar\u0131ndan olu\u015fturulan bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya dayan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Olu\u015fturulan modelleme ise yeterli say\u0131da insan enfekte oldu\u011fu ve insanlar vir\u00fcse kar\u015f\u0131 diren\u00e7li hale geldi\u011finde vir\u00fcs\u00fcn yay\u0131lmay\u0131 durduraca\u011f\u0131 fikri olan \u201cs\u00fcr\u00fc ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131na\u201d odaklanmakta.<\/p>\n

Baz\u0131 \u0130ngiliz bilim adamlar\u0131 s\u00fcrecin ba\u015f\u0131nda s\u00fcr\u00fc ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nermi\u015f ancak h\u00fck\u00fcmet bunun ulusal sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmetinin kritik hastalarla kapasitesini a\u015fabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesiyle kabul etmemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Oxford ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131 sonu\u00e7 olarak iki aydan fazla bir s\u00fcre boyunca h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde vir\u00fcs\u00fcn yay\u0131lmas\u0131yla \u00f6nemli bir s\u00fcr\u00fc ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n kazan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu durum testlerle teyit edilirse mevcut k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n belirtilen s\u00fcreden daha \u00f6nce kald\u0131r\u0131labilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Her ne kadar baz\u0131 uzmanlar vir\u00fcse kar\u015f\u0131 insan ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k tepkisinin g\u00fcc\u00fc ve uzunlu\u011fu konusunda \u015f\u00fcphe duysalar da Prof Gupta, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan kan\u0131tlar\u0131n insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n covid-19’a kar\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fc ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131ndan emin oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Prof. Gupta’n\u0131n Oxford, Cambridge ve Kent \u00dcniversitelerindeki meslekta\u015flar\u0131 da antikor testlerinin bir an \u00f6nce ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Oxford \u00fcniversitesindeki ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131n modellemesine g\u00f6re, yeni koronavir\u00fcs, \u0130ngiltere’de bilim adamlar\u0131n\u0131n daha \u00f6nce tahmin etti\u011finden \u00e7ok daha fazla insan\u0131 – belki de n\u00fcfusun yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 – etkilemi\u015f olabilir. Epidemiyoloji Profes\u00f6r\u00fc Sunetra Gupta, covid-19 ile enfekte olanlar\u0131n binde birinden daha az\u0131n\u0131n hastanede tedaviye ihtiya\u00e7 duyacak kadar hasta oldu\u011funu tahmin ediyor ve ekliyor: “B\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funluk \u00e7ok hafif semptomlar g\u00f6steriyor …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":287319,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6770,6155,5005,6669,349],"tags":[1874,10,220418,5390],"class_list":["post-287976","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-avrupa","category-gundem","category-manset","category-saglik","category-son-dakika","tag-ingiltere","tag-italya","tag-koronavirus","tag-oxford-universitesi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/287976","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=287976"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/287976\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/287319"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=287976"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=287976"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=287976"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}