{"id":288244,"date":"2020-03-30T15:54:49","date_gmt":"2020-03-30T12:54:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=288244"},"modified":"2022-09-06T13:10:44","modified_gmt":"2022-09-06T10:10:44","slug":"salgin-ne-zaman-bitecek-italyadan-umutlandiran-tahminler-288244","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/salgin-ne-zaman-bitecek-italyadan-umutlandiran-tahminler-288244\/","title":{"rendered":"Salg\u0131n ne zaman bitecek? \u0130talya&#8217;dan umutland\u0131ran tahminler"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130talya&#8217;da koronavir\u00fcs\u00fcn \u00fclke genelinde May\u0131s ay\u0131n\u0131n ikinci veya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftas\u0131nda tamamen kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Mevcut e\u011filimlere g\u00f6re, yeni Covid-19 vakalar\u0131 \u0130talya&#8217;n\u0131n \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde Nisan ay\u0131nda s\u0131f\u0131rlanacak. Salg\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131r ge\u00e7ti\u011fi b\u00f6lgelerde ise 5-16 may\u0131s tarihleri veriliyor.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/italya-salgin-ne-zaman-bitecek.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"656\" height=\"492\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-288245\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/italya-salgin-ne-zaman-bitecek.jpg 656w, https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/italya-salgin-ne-zaman-bitecek-200x150.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 656px) 100vw, 656px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Roma&#8217;da \u0130talya Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan desteklenen Einaudi Ekonomi ve Finans Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Eief) ara\u015ft\u0131rma merkezi, \u0130talya&#8217;n\u0131n yeni kaydedilen enfeksiyonlarda s\u0131f\u0131r noktas\u0131na ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 tarihlerle ilgili bir projeksiyon haz\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130statistikler ve Sa\u011fl\u0131k Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan her g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan veriler ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya temel olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n ilk bulgular\u0131na g\u00f6re yeni Covid-19 te\u015fhisleri 5 ila 16 May\u0131s aras\u0131nda s\u0131f\u0131rlanacak.<\/p>\n<!-- Error, Advert is not available at this time due to schedule\/geolocation restrictions! -->\n<p>\u0130talya&#8217;n\u0131n baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgeleri salg\u0131n\u0131n kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131nda di\u011fer b\u00f6lgelere g\u00f6re daha iyi durumda g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. <\/p>\n<p>Mesela Trentino-Alto Adige&#8217;de s\u0131f\u0131r vaka say\u0131s\u0131na 6 Nisan&#8217;da, ertesi g\u00fcn Basilicata&#8217;da, ertesi g\u00fcn Valle d&#8217;Aosta&#8217;da, Puglia&#8217;da ise 9 Nisan&#8217;da ula\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130talya&#8217;n\u0131n en \u00e7ok etkilenen b\u00f6lgeleri i\u00e7in biraz daha uzun s\u00fcrebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Veri tabanlar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 olmamas\u0131 nedeniyle Marche, Molise ve Sardinia b\u00f6lgeleri ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya dahil edilmedi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yazar\u0131 Franco Peracchi, makalesinde veri kalitesi hakk\u0131nda baz\u0131 uyar\u0131larda bulunarak &#8220;\u015eu anda vaka say\u0131s\u0131 sadece test edilip pozitif \u00e7\u0131kanlardan ibaret. Dikkat edilmeli ki enfekte olup da test yap\u0131lmayan insanlar da var&#8221; diyor. <\/p>\n<p>\u0130talya&#8217;n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli ekonomistlerinden Luigi Guiso, \u00fclkenin farkl\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerinin \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 zamanlarda s\u0131f\u0131r noktas\u0131na ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne alarak \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Vakalar\u0131n tamamen bitti\u011fi b\u00f6lgelerde i\u015fletmeler ve sivil ya\u015fam kademeli olarak normale d\u00f6nd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir. Ancak \u00fclkenin \u00e7e\u015fitli b\u00f6lgeleri aras\u0131ndaki seyahat k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 elbette ki bir s\u00fcre daha devam edecektir.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h3>\u0130talya&#8217;da salg\u0131n ne zaman bitecek? \u0130\u015fte b\u00f6lgelere g\u00f6re tahminler<\/h3>\n<p>Abruzzo 11 Nisan<br \/>\nBasilicata 7 Nisan<br \/>\nCalabria 17 Nisan<br \/>\nCampania 20 Nisan<br \/>\nEmilia-Romagna 28 Nisan<br \/>\nFriuli \u2013 Venezia Giulia 10 Nisan<br \/>\nLazio 16 Nisan<br \/>\nLiguria 7 Nisan<br \/>\nLombardia 22 Nisan<br \/>\nPiemonte 15 Nisan<br \/>\nPuglia 9 Nisan<br \/>\nSicilia 14 Nisan<br \/>\nToscana 5 May\u0131s<br \/>\nTrentino \u2013 Alto Adige 6 Nisan<br \/>\nUmbria 7 Nisan<br \/>\nValle d\u2019Aosta 8 Nisan<br \/>\nVeneto 14 Nisan<\/p>\n<!-- Error, Advert is not available at this time due to schedule\/geolocation restrictions! -->\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130talya&#8217;da koronavir\u00fcs\u00fcn \u00fclke genelinde May\u0131s ay\u0131n\u0131n ikinci veya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftas\u0131nda tamamen kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Mevcut e\u011filimlere g\u00f6re, yeni Covid-19 vakalar\u0131 \u0130talya&#8217;n\u0131n \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde Nisan ay\u0131nda s\u0131f\u0131rlanacak. Salg\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131r ge\u00e7ti\u011fi b\u00f6lgelerde ise 5-16 may\u0131s tarihleri veriliyor. Roma&#8217;da \u0130talya Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan desteklenen Einaudi Ekonomi ve Finans Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Eief) ara\u015ft\u0131rma merkezi, \u0130talya&#8217;n\u0131n yeni kaydedilen enfeksiyonlarda s\u0131f\u0131r noktas\u0131na &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":288246,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6770,6155,5005,349],"tags":[10,220418,7398],"class_list":["post-288244","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-avrupa","category-gundem","category-manset","category-son-dakika","tag-italya","tag-koronavirus","tag-salgin"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/288244","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=288244"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/288244\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/288246"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=288244"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=288244"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=288244"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}