Hotam\u0131\u015fl\u0131gil’in a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kanlar \u015f\u00f6yle;<\/p>\n
“T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki gidi\u015fat hakk\u0131nda bir model veya sim\u00fclasyon yapmak i\u00e7in ilk \u00f6nce daha fazla veri gelmesi gerekiyor. <\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u015fu anda h\u0131zl\u0131 ivme d\u00f6nemindeyiz fakat veri say\u0131s\u0131 az oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 modellememiz m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. \u00c7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir olas\u0131l\u0131kla, -bu sadece T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in de\u011fil t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada b\u00f6yle- tan\u0131 konmu\u015f testlerle g\u00f6sterilmi\u015f vaka say\u0131s\u0131 ger\u00e7ek vaka say\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha az oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. <\/p>\n
Hatta d\u00fcn \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli baz\u0131 g\u00f6zlemler geldi. \u00d6rne\u011fin \u0130zlanda\u2019dan. Burada testlerde pozitif \u00e7\u0131kan insanlar\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n hi\u00e7bir belirti vermeden pozitif hale geldi\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Y\u00fczde 62-63 g\u00f6steren ba\u015fka baz\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar da var. <\/p>\n
Bu hem iyi haber hem k\u00f6t\u00fc haber. Her topluluk i\u00e7erisinde bildi\u011fimizden \u00e7ok daha fazla pozitif vaka var. <\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u015fu anda ivme \u00e7ok dik g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Bunun 2 hafta i\u00e7erisinde bu \u015fekilde devam etti\u011fi zaman ne kadar muazzam d\u00fczeylere gelebilece\u011fini di\u011fer \u00fclkelerden deneyimledik. Fakat eldeki veri hala yeterli modelleme yapmaya uygun olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in bunun tam ne zaman zirveye ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek zor. Kritik olan, b\u00f6yle bir ivme yakalad\u0131ktan sonra onu \u015fu ana kadar bast\u0131rm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyoruz. G\u00fcnl\u00fck vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 bilinen rakamlarla belli bir sabitlikte ilerliyor. Ancak hala bu e\u011frili\u011fi bast\u0131rma olana\u011f\u0131 var. bu \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Fakat rakamlar\u0131 nas\u0131l bi\u00e7erseniz bi\u00e7in kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za gelen konu \u015fu andaki stratejimizin biraz daha de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesi gerekti\u011fi do\u011frultusunda. <\/p>\n
D\u00fcnyada olanlardan ve burada yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerden kaynaklanan \u00f6nlemler paketinden geliyor. Can kay\u0131plar\u0131ndaki h\u0131zlanmay\u0131 g\u00f6ze al\u0131rsak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcrecin zorlu bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rmek \u00e7ok zor de\u011fil. <\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in birinci olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm acil strateji \u015fu andaki b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00e7abay\u0131 can kayb\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7mek \u00fczere haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 yapmaya y\u00f6neltmek gerekiyor. <\/p>\n
3-4 maddeye indirilebilir. Bunlardan bir tanesi, d\u00fcn ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z veriler bunu \u00e7ok net bir \u015fekilde g\u00f6steriyor. Sa\u011fl\u0131k personelini korumam\u0131z gerekiyor. Bizim i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck hasar verici \u015fey sa\u011fl\u0131k personelinde ciddi kay\u0131plar ya\u015famam\u0131z. <\/p>\n
\u0130kinci olarak hastane kapasitelerinin haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131. \u00d6zellikle yo\u011fun bak\u0131m, karantina ve solunum cihaz\u0131 kapasitelerinin haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131. Yo\u011fun d\u00f6neme girerken b\u00fct\u00fcn katk\u0131da bulunabilecek insan kapasitesini de harekete ge\u00e7irmek laz\u0131m. Bunun i\u00e7in s\u0131rad\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlemler de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin ABD eyaletler aras\u0131 lisanslar\u0131 kald\u0131rd\u0131. T\u0131p fak\u00fcltelerinin 4., 5. s\u0131n\u0131f \u00f6\u011frencilerine h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde lisans veriliyor. ”<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Hotam\u0131\u015fl\u0131gil’in a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kanlar \u015f\u00f6yle; “T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki gidi\u015fat hakk\u0131nda bir model veya sim\u00fclasyon yapmak i\u00e7in ilk \u00f6nce daha fazla veri gelmesi gerekiyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u015fu anda h\u0131zl\u0131 ivme d\u00f6nemindeyiz fakat veri say\u0131s\u0131 az oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 modellememiz m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. \u00c7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir olas\u0131l\u0131kla, -bu sadece T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in de\u011fil t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada b\u00f6yle- tan\u0131 konmu\u015f testlerle g\u00f6sterilmi\u015f vaka say\u0131s\u0131 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":288530,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6155,220555,5005,349,6805],"tags":[1887,4110,5359,220418],"class_list":["post-288529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-dunyada-covid-19","category-manset","category-son-dakika","category-turkiye","tag-abd","tag-haberturk","tag-harvard-universitesi","tag-koronavirus"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/288529","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=288529"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/288529\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/288530"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=288529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=288529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=288529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}