AA muhabirinin sorular\u0131n\u0131 yan\u0131tlayan Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Douglas Winslow, \u201cBu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde, yani koronavir\u00fcs \u015foku \u00f6ncesinde, T\u00fcrk ekonomisi y\u00fczde 6 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte sert bir daralma bekliyoruz. Evlerde kalma s\u00fcrecinin sonunda ekonomik aktivitelerin normalle\u015fmesiyle, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte ise daha yatay bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte iyile\u015fmenin g\u00f6r\u00fclmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,5 seviyesinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini bekliyoruz ki bu bizim de\u011ferlendirmemize g\u00f6re s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131d\u0131r.\u201d \u0130fadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Fitch Ratings, ge\u00e7en hafta yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cK\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u201d g\u00fcncelleme raporunda, bu y\u0131l k\u00fcresel ekonominin y\u00fczde 1,9 daralmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fini belirtmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Winslow, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u00fcresel resesyon beklentisine ra\u011fmen T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de y\u00fczde 0,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminine gerek\u00e7e olarak y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda \u00f6zel banka kredileri ile g\u00f6r\u00fclen b\u00fcy\u00fcme ivmesi ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ortam\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n
Fitch Ratings Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Winslow, \u201cKoronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Ekonomik \u0130stikrar Kalkan\u0131 yoluyla b\u00fcy\u00fck te\u015fvikleri, devlet bankalar\u0131n\u0131n kredi deste\u011fine y\u00f6nelik yeni \u00f6nlemleri g\u00f6rmemiz olas\u0131. Bu durum ekonomik aktivite i\u00e7in ek destek sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan Douglas Winslow, bu y\u0131l koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 nedeniyle Avro B\u00f6lgesi’nin y\u00fczde 4,2 daralmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fini, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de ihracat cephesinde Avrupa\u2019daki resesyondan etkilenebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Gerilen k\u00fcresel piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131 nedeniyle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f finansman ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n halen temel hassasiyetler aras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan Winslow, cari y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1 seviyesinde bir a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n verilebilece\u011fini, yine de bunun 2018 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 2,7 seviyesine k\u0131yasla, bir ilerleme oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Winslow, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda enflasyonun y\u00fczde 8,5 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirterek, \u201cMerkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) faizleri indirmeye haz\u0131r oldu\u011fu sinyalini veriyor. Bu y\u00fczden \u015fu anda bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonuna kadar 100 baz puan indirimine gidilerek faizin y\u00fczde 8,75\u2019e indirilmesini tahmin ediyoruz.\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Winslow, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de reel faiz oran\u0131n\u0131n zaten d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu, bunun T\u00fcrk liras\u0131 \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fini ve \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn d\u0131\u015f finansman cephesinde zorlanabilece\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AA muhabirinin sorular\u0131n\u0131 yan\u0131tlayan Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Douglas Winslow, \u201cBu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde, yani koronavir\u00fcs \u015foku \u00f6ncesinde, T\u00fcrk ekonomisi y\u00fczde 6 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte sert bir daralma bekliyoruz. Evlerde kalma s\u00fcrecinin sonunda ekonomik aktivitelerin normalle\u015fmesiyle, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte ise daha yatay bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte iyile\u015fmenin g\u00f6r\u00fclmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":251066,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6199,6155,5005,349],"tags":[85993,195938],"class_list":["post-288833","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-gundem","category-manset","category-son-dakika","tag-fitch","tag-turkiye"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/288833","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=288833"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/288833\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/251066"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=288833"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=288833"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=288833"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}