{"id":43843,"date":"2010-10-25T10:08:29","date_gmt":"2010-10-25T08:08:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=43843"},"modified":"2019-03-28T11:05:36","modified_gmt":"2019-03-28T08:05:36","slug":"emre-gollu-ya-balon-patlarsa-146293","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/emre-gollu-ya-balon-patlarsa-146293\/","title":{"rendered":"Ya Balon Patlarsa?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>NationalTurk yorumcular\u0131ndan Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc’n\u00fcn son g\u00fcnlerdeki ekonomik durumda ya\u015fanan ilgin\u00e7 geli\u015fmeler ile ilgili g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Y<\/strong>az mevsiminin s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k, sonbahar\u0131n h\u00fczn\u00fcn\u00fc ve serinli\u011fini ya\u015f\u0131yoruz ancak ekonomimiz, s\u0131cak para giri\u015fiyle mevsim ge\u00e7i\u015fine nazire yaparcas\u0131na \u0131s\u0131n\u0131yor. <\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/strong>\u00d6zellikle son on y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde ekonomik yap\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n kan\u0131ksad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek faiz ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kur politikas\u0131n\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi s\u0131cak para, te\u015fbihte hata olmaz misali Lale Devri benzeri d\u00f6nemleri bize ya\u015fatt\u0131. Bu d\u00f6nemlerde ekonomimiz b\u00fcy\u00fcyordu, piyasalar co\u015fuyordu, yabanc\u0131 sermaye \u00fclkemize oluk oluk ak\u0131yordu, bolluktan ge\u00e7ilmiyordu. Deyim yerindeyse yok yoktu. Madalyonun bir y\u00fcz\u00fc bu \u015fekildeyken, di\u011fer y\u00fcz\u00fcnde ise daralan yerli \u00fcretim, kronikle\u015fen i\u015fsizlik, bozulan gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 sorunlar\u0131 bulunmaya devam ediyordu.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 esas alan verilere g\u00f6re \u00fclkemizde ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc son krizin \u00f6ncesindekine ula\u015ft\u0131. Asl\u0131nda y\u0131llard\u0131r kan\u0131ksad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z, benim sin\u00fcs e\u011frisine benzetti\u011fim \u015fekildeki ini\u015fli \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fl\u0131 performansta sin\u00fcs e\u011frisinin bu sefer daha y\u00fcksek bir genlikle yukar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yani iyile\u015fmenin ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki krizden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f d\u00f6nemlerine g\u00f6re daha yava\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Bu iyile\u015fmenin sonucunda ekonomide \u00e7arklar\u0131n yeniden d\u00f6nmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6yleniyor. Elbette ki ekonomideki canlanma sevindirici ancak ger\u00e7ekleri de g\u00f6zard\u0131 etmemek gerekiyor kan\u0131mca. G20 \u00fclkelerinin y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndaki ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye, y\u00fczde 10,3\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131yla Arjantin\u2019in ard\u0131ndan ikinci s\u0131ray\u0131 \u00c7in ile payla\u015ft\u0131. K\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde son derece memnun edici bir g\u00f6sterge yakalanmakla birlikte i\u015fin asl\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n asl\u0131nda baz etkisinden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Madem ekonomimiz b\u00f6ylesine d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda y\u00fcksek say\u0131lan bir oranda b\u00fcy\u00fcyor ve \u00e7arklar d\u00f6n\u00fcyor, bunun etkisi neden istihdama yans\u0131m\u0131yor? \u0130\u015fsizlikteki azalman\u0131n, tar\u0131m ve turizm sekt\u00f6rlerinin d\u00f6nemsel etkisine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi ortada. \u0130\u015fsizlik sorunun kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc nas\u0131l sa\u011flanacak? Ekonomimiz \u00f6nemli oranda b\u00fcy\u00fcyor b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine de bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin olumlu etkisi, halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n ya\u015fam standard\u0131na ve refah\u0131na yans\u0131m\u0131yor bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc nedense. D\u00f6rt ki\u015filik bir ailenin yoksulluk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye Kamu-Sen\u2019in ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na g\u00f6re 2966,22 TL\u2019ye ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Ka\u00e7 ailenin kazanc\u0131 bu mebla\u011fa ula\u015f\u0131yor?<\/p>\n

Bu sorular \u00f6ncelikle yan\u0131t bekliyor bana g\u00f6re. Hesaplamalar\u0131n sonucunda elde edilen rakamlarla g\u00fcnl\u00fck hayat\u0131n i\u00e7indeki ger\u00e7eklerin birarada ortaya koydu\u011fu sonu\u00e7, ekonomimizin \u00e7arp\u0131k bir \u015fekilde b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya koyuyor. Y\u0131llard\u0131r bozuklu\u011fundan \u015fikayet edilen gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131nda d\u00fczelme bir yana tepedeki az\u0131nl\u0131k ile tabandaki \u00e7o\u011funluk aras\u0131ndaki makas git gide a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca, ekonomimizin son on y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemdeki pop\u00fcler kavramlar\u0131ndan biri olan cari a\u00e7\u0131k da h\u0131zla art\u0131yor, yani s\u0131cak paran\u0131n bu k\u0131s\u0131r d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne kendimizi yine mahkum ediyoruz ama di\u011fer yandan da sahte bir Lale Devri\u2019ni ya\u015famaya ba\u015fl\u0131yoruz. Nereye kadar? Balon \u015fi\u015firiliyor ama \u015fi\u015fkin kalmas\u0131 sa\u011flanam\u0131yor, balon s\u00f6nmeye ba\u015flay\u0131nca d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan verilen kuvvetli bir nefesle yeniden \u015fi\u015fmesi sa\u011flan\u0131yor ama ya fazla \u015fi\u015fen bu balon patlarsa? Ne olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen var m\u0131 acaba?<\/p>\n

Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\nError, group does not exist! Check your syntax! (ID: 51)<\/span>\nError, group does not exist! Check your syntax! (ID: 53)<\/span>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc: Ya Balon Patlarsa?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9192204,"featured_media":43851,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6199,5005],"tags":[686,195983,42659,42658,13301,50449,11398,12917],"class_list":["post-43843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-manset","tag-ekonomik-kriz","tag-emre-gollu","tag-emre-gollu-ekonomi","tag-emre-gollu-ekonomi-yazilari","tag-emre-gollu-kimdir","tag-emre-gollu-nationalturk","tag-emre-gollu-yazilari","tag-turkiye-ekonomisi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43843","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9192204"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43843"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43843\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43851"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43843"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43843"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43843"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}