{"id":52835,"date":"2010-12-24T11:55:59","date_gmt":"2010-12-24T09:55:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=52835"},"modified":"2010-12-24T11:55:59","modified_gmt":"2010-12-24T09:55:59","slug":"istanbul-icin-felaket-senaryosu-24122010","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/istanbul-icin-felaket-senaryosu-24122010\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130stanbul i\u00e7in felaket senaryosu"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>Tabii bu tamamen senaryo. \u0130ngiliz Telegraph Gazetesi, 3 ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131n\u0131n \u201cFay hatt\u0131nda ya\u015fam yolculu\u011fu\u201d dizisinde bu deprem senaryosunu kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Saat 8:25. Her zaman oldu\u011fu gibi, \u0130stanbul yollar\u0131 fabrikalara ve i\u015f merkezlerine giderken duman kusan otomobil ve otob\u00fcslerle s\u0131k\u0131\u015f tepi\u015f. 15 milyon insan i\u00e7in yine s\u0131radan bir g\u00fcn. Ans\u0131z\u0131n yer sars\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Binalar, i\u00e7lerindeki insanlara mezar olurcas\u0131na \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Gaz ve su borular\u0131 patlad\u0131. Panik eden insanlar telefon sistemlerini \u00e7\u00f6kertti. Marmara denizin k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131nda temiz bir bahar havas\u0131 almak i\u00e7in gezinen insanlar\u0131 bir an i\u00e7inde dev bir tsunami dalgas\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcne kat\u0131p g\u00f6t\u00fcrd\u00fc. Felaket g\u00fcn\u00fcn sonunda tam 35 bin insan ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 yitirdi. 200 bin ki\u015fi yaraland\u0131. 80 bin binadan geriye sadece koca bir enkaz kald\u0131. Sultanahmet Camii ayakta kalmay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131 ama \u00fczerindeki \u00e7atlaklar onlarca y\u0131l boyunca b\u00fcy\u00fck 2017 depremini hat\u0131rlatacak. \u0130\u015fte bunlar herkesin fark\u0131nda oldu\u011fu depremde ya\u015fan\u0131lacak olanlar.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkler umursam\u0131yor<\/strong>
\n\u0130ngiliz The Telegraph gazetesi, 3 ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131 ka\u015fifin \u201cFay hatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fam yolculu\u011fu\u201d adl\u0131 gezilerinin T\u00fcrkiye aya\u011f\u0131nda yapt\u0131klar\u0131 depreme haz\u0131rl\u0131k g\u00f6zlemlerini okuyucular\u0131yla payla\u015ft\u0131. Kraliyet Co\u011frafi Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Derne\u011fi ve Land Rover otomobil \u015firketinin deste\u011fiyle ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen gezi de Tamsin Davies, Serena Davies ve Adam Whitaker, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ciddi bir deprem \u00fclkesi oldu\u011funu ve \u00f6nlemsizli\u011fin olas\u0131 bir depremde \u00e7ok say\u0131da can alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirttiler. Haberde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerine yer verilen Jeofizik Profes\u00f6r\u00fc \u015eerif Bar\u0131\u015f da, \u201c18 bin insan\u0131n \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 1999 depreminden sonra \u0130stanbul\u2019da Richter \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011fine g\u00f6re 7,5 \u015fiddetinde yeni bir depremin y\u00fczde 65 ihtimalle 30 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fe\u011fi hesaplan\u0131yordu. 10 y\u0131l ge\u00e7ti bile.<\/p>\n

Olas\u0131 bir 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 depremi senaryosunda ya\u015fan\u0131lacaklar \u00e7ok daha a\u011f\u0131r olabilir\u201d \u015feklinde konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Telegraph\u2019a g\u00f6re, bir\u00e7ok insan depremin riskini biliyor. Ancak \u201chaz\u0131rl\u0131k yap\u0131yor musunuz\u201d diye soruldu\u011funda, sadece y\u00fczde 20\u2019sinden daha az\u0131 deprem i\u00e7in haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. \u0130talya\u2019y\u0131 da gezen 3\u2019l\u00fc, bu \u00fclkenin de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den pek farkl\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

HABERDEK\u0130 PROF KONU\u015eTU
\n<\/strong> \u2018Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fine inanm\u0131yorum\u2019 Prof. Dr. \u015eerif Bar\u0131\u015f (Kocaeli \u00dcniversitesi Yer Fizi\u011fi Anabilim Dal\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131): \u201cGazeteci ve co\u011frafyac\u0131 3 ki\u015finin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130zlanda\u2019dan \u0130ran\u2019a kadar fay hatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fayan halklar\u0131n \u00e7ektikleri s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131, depremden nas\u0131l dersler \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131, ne \u00f6\u011frendiklerini sorgulayan bir proje. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye geldiklerinde ben 3 g\u00fcn onlara yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldum. STK\u2019lara, belediye ba\u015fkanlar\u0131na g\u00f6t\u00fcrd\u00fcm. Ankara ve \u0130stanbul\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fecekleri ki\u015filerle randevular\u0131n\u0131 ayarlamalar\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldum. Ben riskin oldu\u011fundan fazla abart\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u0130stanbul\u2019un zaman\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.Ben jeofizik\u00e7i olarak bu senaryonun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fine inanm\u0131yorum. Bu arkada\u015flar Kocaeli\u2019nden sonra Kandilli Rasathanesi\u2019ne de gittiler. Muhtemelen Mustafa Erdik Hoca\u2019n\u0131n JICA ve \u0130BB i\u00e7in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir deprem senaryosu vard\u0131. Muhtemelen o senaryodan etkilendiler.<\/p>\n

Ancak Prof. Dr. Erdik de o senaryoyu daha sonra g\u00fcncelledi ve rakamlar\u0131 indirdi. 7.5\u2019luk depremde, \u0130zmit\u2019in bat\u0131s\u0131ndan Tekirda\u011f\u2019a kadar fay\u0131n Marmara\u2019da 400 Km.\u2019lik bir hatta tek par\u00e7a k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 bana mant\u0131kl\u0131 gelmiyor. Ama tehlike hesaplan\u0131rken en b\u00fcy\u00fck risk neyse ona g\u00f6re haz\u0131rlan\u0131l\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tabii bu tamamen senaryo. \u0130ngiliz Telegraph Gazetesi, 3 ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131n\u0131n \u201cFay hatt\u0131nda ya\u015fam yolculu\u011fu\u201d dizisinde bu deprem senaryosunu kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":52838,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6155,349,6805],"tags":[57680,57679,1011,57681,4030,43259],"class_list":["post-52835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-son-dakika","category-turkiye","tag-fay-hatti","tag-ingiliz-telegraph-gazetesi","tag-istanbul","tag-kraliyet-cografi-arastirmalar-dernegi","tag-land-rover","tag-marmara-denizi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52835","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52835"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52835\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/52838"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}