{"id":73717,"date":"2011-06-27T10:40:43","date_gmt":"2011-06-27T07:40:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=73717"},"modified":"2019-03-28T11:05:22","modified_gmt":"2019-03-28T08:05:22","slug":"merkez-sagin-etkisi-6813","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/merkez-sagin-etkisi-6813\/","title":{"rendered":"Merkez Sa\u011f\u0131n Etkisi"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/emregollu_yatay.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-63492\" title=\"Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/emregollu_yatay.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"280\" height=\"202\"><\/a><\/h3>\n<h3>NationalT\u00fcrk yorumcusu Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc &#8216;n\u00fcn bu hafta kaleme ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 &#8220;Merkez Sa\u011f\u0131n Etkisi&#8221; adl\u0131 yaz\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 sizlerle payla\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/h3>\n<p>Siyasi kriz belirince se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 bir anda geri plana d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn ve Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn TBMM\u2019deki oturumun ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131na kadarki k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 kapsayan zaman dilimi ivedi geli\u015fmeleri g\u00f6sterecek mi hep birlikte ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131z. \u015ei\u015fli\u2019de ya\u015fanan protestolar ve bunlar\u0131n sonucunda konut ve ara\u00e7lar\u0131n zarar g\u00f6rmesi, \u00fcz\u00fcc\u00fc geli\u015fmeler oldu. Bu geli\u015fmeler, provokasyonlar\u0131n soka\u011fa yans\u0131mas\u0131 i\u00e7in bir tehlike sinyali kan\u0131mca.<\/p>\n<p>Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na d\u00f6nersek, kazanan ve kaybeden tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n bitmeyece\u011fini s\u00f6ylememiz m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Adalet ve Kalk\u0131nma Partisi (AKP), ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oy say\u0131s\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu se\u00e7imin tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z galibi oldu. Milletvekili say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n, bir \u00f6nceki se\u00e7ime nazaran azalmas\u0131 ise bir kayb\u0131 i\u015faret ediyor. Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi (CHP), kazan\u00e7 kay\u0131p tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131na oturdu. Kimine g\u00f6re al\u0131nan sonu\u00e7, \u00f6nceki genel se\u00e7imle k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda somut bir ba\u015far\u0131y\u0131, kimine g\u00f6re ise hedefin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in belirgin bir ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Milliyet\u00e7i Hareket Partisi (MHP), \u00fcst y\u00f6netiminin kaset skandallar\u0131yla girdi\u011fi se\u00e7imin sonucunda baraj\u0131 a\u015farak parlamentoya girmeyi ba\u015fard\u0131 ancak milletvekili say\u0131s\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir kayba u\u011frad\u0131. Bar\u0131\u015f ve Demokrasi Partisi (BDP)\u2019nin destekledi\u011fi ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z adaylar ise al\u0131nan oy ve toplamda kazand\u0131klar\u0131 milletvekili say\u0131s\u0131yla \u00f6nemli bir ba\u015far\u0131ya imza att\u0131lar.<\/p>\n<h4>Y\u00fczde altm\u0131\u015fbe\u015f (% 65) sa\u011f, y\u00fczde otuzbe\u015f (% 35) sol<\/h4>\n<p>Se\u00e7imin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi ki toplumumuzun genel siyas\u00ee e\u011filiminin da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde altm\u0131\u015fbe\u015f (% 65) sa\u011f, y\u00fczde otuzbe\u015f (% 35) sol \u015feklinde ifade eden g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, genel itibar\u0131yla do\u011frulanm\u0131\u015f oldu. Partilerin ve ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zlar\u0131n ald\u0131klar\u0131 oy oranlar\u0131n\u0131n toplam\u0131 bunu i\u015faret ediyor. Bana g\u00f6re, se\u00e7imin sonucunu belirleyen, merkez sa\u011f oylard\u0131r ve sonu\u00e7, onlar\u0131n mutlak bir etkisidir. Se\u00e7imden \u00f6nce, gerek AKP\u2019nin ge\u00e7en se\u00e7imde ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 merkez sa\u011f oylar\u0131 korumay\u0131 hedefleyece\u011fini gerekse CHP ve MHP\u2019nin hedeflerinin merkez sa\u011fdan oy almak oldu\u011funu, milletvekili aday listelerine g\u00f6re de\u011ferlendirmi\u015ftim. Sonu\u00e7lar g\u00f6sterdi ki merkez sa\u011f oylar, artan bir oranla yine AKP\u2019de topland\u0131. Demokrat Parti\u2019nin oy oran\u0131n\u0131n bu durumu net olarak g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesindeyim. Bununla birlikte, se\u00e7ime girmeyen Gen\u00e7 Parti\u2019den kayan oylar\u0131n, Saadet Partisi ile B\u00fcy\u00fck Birlik Partisi\u2019nin azalan oylar\u0131n\u0131n da AKP\u2019ye y\u00f6neldi\u011fini belirtmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. \u00d6rne\u011fin, Sivas\u2019ta 2007\u2019de rahmetli Muhsin Yaz\u0131c\u0131o\u011flu\u2019nun ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z aday olarak ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oylar\u0131n oran\u0131 y\u00fczde onbir (% 11) iken, bu se\u00e7imde AKP\u2019nin Sivas\u2019taki oylar\u0131n\u0131n oran\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde onbir (% 11) oldu. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, se\u00e7menin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck partileri b\u0131rakarak tercihini AKP\u2019den yana kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek yanl\u0131\u015f olmaz. CHP ve MHP\u2019nin merkez sa\u011f a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131 ise k\u0131sm\u00ee etkilerin \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7ememi\u015ftir. Merkez sa\u011f oylar\u0131n CHP\u2019ye y\u00f6neliminin, \u0130\u00e7 Ege ve Trakya ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Kan\u0131mca sonu\u00e7 olarak, merkez sa\u011f oylar\u0131n se\u00e7imin galibini tayin etti\u011fi s\u00f6ylenebilir. AKP\u2019nin yerel \u00f6l\u00e7ekli hizmetlere dayanan se\u00e7im stratejisi etkili olmu\u015ftur. Bakanlardan mahalle temsilcilerine kadar her kademedeki partililerin disiplin ve d\u00fczen i\u00e7inde \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. CHP\u2019nin \u00fczerinde durmas\u0131 gereken unsur, b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehirlerde hedeflenen oy oranlar\u0131n\u0131n gerisinde kal\u0131nmas\u0131d\u0131r, ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k olarak nitelenebilecek sonu\u00e7 budur. Bu sonucun nedenleri gerek te\u015fkilat\u0131n \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131, gerekse se\u00e7menin alg\u0131lar\u0131 boyutlar\u0131ndan irdelenmelidir. G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Anadolu B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki sonu\u00e7lar, de\u011ferlendirmenin di\u011fer bir boyutunu olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Kemik se\u00e7menin rahats\u0131z oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylemler yeniden de\u011ferlendirilmelidir. MHP, Anadolu Hilali olarak tan\u0131mlanan ve ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki kemik oylar\u0131n\u0131 bar\u0131nd\u0131ran b\u00f6lgede, 2007\u2019de oldu\u011fu gibi bekledi\u011fi sonucu yine alamam\u0131\u015f ve se\u00e7menin AKP\u2019ye y\u00f6nelimini engelleyememi\u015ftir. Ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmelerden sonra \u00fcst y\u00f6netimini yenileyen MHP\u2019nin bu y\u00f6nelimin tekrar\u0131n\u0131n nedenlerine odaklanmas\u0131nda fayda g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. TBMM\u2019nin gerilimden uzak \u015fekilde a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 diliyorum.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Emre G\u00d6LL\u00dc<\/strong><\/p>\n<span style=\"font-weight: bold; color: #f00;\">Error, group does not exist! Check your syntax! (ID: 72)<\/span>\n<span style=\"font-weight: bold; color: #f00;\">Error, group does not exist! Check your syntax! (ID: 71)<\/span>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NationalT\u00fcrk yorumcusu Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc &#8216;n\u00fcn bu hafta kaleme ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 &#8220;Merkez Sa\u011f\u0131n Etkisi&#8221; adl\u0131 yaz\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 sizlerle payla\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9192204,"featured_media":63492,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5005,6202],"tags":[73892,5070,73893,6871],"class_list":["post-73717","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-manset","category-politika","tag-chp-oylari","tag-cumhuriyet-halk-partisi","tag-mhp-oylari","tag-tbmm"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73717","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9192204"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73717"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73717\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/63492"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73717"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73717"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73717"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}