{"id":77152,"date":"2011-07-26T10:12:58","date_gmt":"2011-07-26T07:12:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=77152"},"modified":"2022-09-11T13:39:31","modified_gmt":"2022-09-11T10:39:31","slug":"kriz-kapiyi-calarken-2149","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/kriz-kapiyi-calarken-2149\/","title":{"rendered":"Kriz Kap\u0131y\u0131 \u00c7alarken"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/emregollu_yatay.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-63492\" title=\"Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/emregollu_yatay.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"280\" height=\"202\"><\/a><\/h1>\n<h2>D\u00fcnyada yeni bir ekonomik kriz olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye &#8216;nin krizden nas\u0131l etkilenece\u011fi tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken NationalT\u00fcrk yorumcusu Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc bu haftaki &#8220;Kriz Kap\u0131y\u0131 \u00c7alarken&#8221; adl\u0131 makalesinde konuyla ilgili \u00f6nemli tespitlerde bulunuyor.<\/h2>\n<h3>Kriz Kap\u0131y\u0131 \u00c7alarken<\/h3>\n<p>Krizin g\u00fcnl\u00fck hayat\u0131n ak\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan eksik olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir toplumuz. \u00d6yle ki, \u015fark\u0131 s\u00f6z\u00fc bile mevcut \u201cHer dakika bir olay var\u201d diye. Genel se\u00e7imlerden sonra milletvekillerinin yemin kriziyle ba\u015flayan s\u00fcre\u00e7 futboldaki \u015fike kriziyle devam ediyor. Bir krizden di\u011ferine ge\u00e7meyi toplumca kan\u0131ksad\u0131k san\u0131r\u0131m. Bu arada, y\u0131ld\u0131z\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n bar\u0131\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kom\u015fumuz Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n maruz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 derin ekonomik kriz kamuoyunun belli kesimlerinde yank\u0131 bulsa da ibret al\u0131nmas\u0131 gereken \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde duruldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum \u015fahsen, klasikle\u015fmi\u015f \u201cBize bir \u015fey olmaz\u201d d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi ve yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131yla. Hele bir de b\u00fcy\u00fcme rekoru k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131nca ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f meydana gelince, bir iyimserlik havas\u0131 olu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>Vars\u0131n yaz s\u0131caklar\u0131 s\u00fcredursun, siyas\u00ee otoriteden kriz riskine dair uyar\u0131 s\u00f6ylemleri art arda gelince bu iyimserlik havas\u0131 yerini teredd\u00fcde b\u0131rakt\u0131 bir anda ve kamuoyu ikiye ayr\u0131ld\u0131. Bir yanda kriz riskinin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu ve acilen tedbir al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini savunanlar, di\u011fer yanda ise ufukta bir kriz g\u00f6z\u00fckmedi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6zellikle daha \u00f6nce ele ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m, cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n geldi\u011fi d\u00fczeye bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ufukta bir kriz g\u00f6r\u00fcnmedi\u011fini savunmak bana fazla iyimser bir yakla\u015f\u0131m geliyor do\u011frusu. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k, Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n mevcut d\u00f6viz rezervlerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kamu maliyesi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan bir risk olarak de\u011ferlendirilmeyebilir ancak d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda ba\u015flayan t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fa ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn d\u00f6viz cinsinden bor\u00e7lar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ciddi bir risk olarak ele al\u0131p k\u0131sa ve orta vadede politikalar\u0131 buna g\u00f6re belirlemenin gerekti\u011fi kan\u0131s\u0131nday\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Unutmayal\u0131m ki son yirmi y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde maruz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ekonomik krizlerde d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n etkisi g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemeyecek boyuttad\u0131r. Cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u0131cak parayla finansman\u0131 uygulamas\u0131 ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 d\u00f6nemlerinde ge\u00e7ici bir rahatl\u0131\u011f\u0131, deyim yerindeyse bir yalanc\u0131 bahar\u0131 beraberinde getirdiyse de s\u0131cak paran\u0131n \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak d\u00f6viz kurunun artmas\u0131yla tetiklenen kriz hem makro hem de mikro \u00f6l\u00e7ekte derin yaralar a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle i\u015fsizlik, toplumsal dinamikleri felce u\u011fratm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi de, \u201cBir \u015fey olmaz, k\u00fcresel ekonomi piyasalar\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeler bizi etkilemez\u201d diye piyasam\u0131z\u0131 ola\u011fan seyrine b\u0131rak\u0131rsak, kap\u0131y\u0131 \u00e7alan krize bir bak\u0131ma buyur gel demi\u015f oluruz. R\u00fczg\u00e2r y\u00fcz\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc yalay\u0131p ge\u00e7iyor derken bir bakm\u0131\u015f\u0131z ki f\u0131rt\u0131nadan yere devrilmi\u015fiz. \u00d6zellikle de azal\u0131yor diye sevindi\u011fimiz i\u015fsizlik bir anda kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131\u011f gibi b\u00fcy\u00fcyen bir sorun olarak yeniden \u00e7\u0131kar ki bunun toplumsal faturas\u0131 tahmin edilenden daha a\u011f\u0131r olur. Zaman, stratejik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcp tedbirleri ivedilikle alma zaman\u0131d\u0131r ki bu tedbirlerin temel hedefi ekonomiyi so\u011futmak de\u011fil, sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir kur politikas\u0131n\u0131 ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak da kontroll\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Emre G\u00d6LL\u00dc \/ NationalT\u00fcrk<\/strong><\/p>\n<span style=\"font-weight: bold; color: #f00;\">Error, group does not exist! Check your syntax! (ID: 72)<\/span>\n<span style=\"font-weight: bold; color: #f00;\">Error, group does not exist! Check your syntax! (ID: 71)<\/span>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnyada yeni bir ekonomik kriz olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye &#8216;nin krizden nas\u0131l etkilenece\u011fi tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken NationalT\u00fcrk yorumcusu Emre G\u00f6ll\u00fc &#8220;Kriz Kap\u0131y\u0131 \u00c7alarken&#8221; adl\u0131 makalesinde konuyla ilgili tespitlerde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9192204,"featured_media":63492,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6199,6155,26554,5005,6202],"tags":[617,686,195983,6098,685,7888,7887,12003],"class_list":["post-77152","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-gundem","category-haftanin-yorumu","category-manset","category-politika","tag-dunya-krizi","tag-ekonomik-kriz","tag-emre-gollu","tag-kriz","tag-kuresel-kriz","tag-turkiye-ekonomik-kriz","tag-turkiye-kriz","tag-ufuk-uras"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77152","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9192204"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77152"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77152\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/63492"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77152"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77152"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77152"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}