{"id":77201,"date":"2011-07-26T14:57:40","date_gmt":"2011-07-26T11:57:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=77201"},"modified":"2019-03-28T11:30:29","modified_gmt":"2019-03-28T08:30:29","slug":"abd-moratoryum-2149","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/abd-moratoryum-2149\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD ve Moratoryum"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/omer-demir-anasayfa1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-73924\" title=\"\u00d6mer Demir\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/omer-demir-anasayfa1-206x220.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"206\" height=\"220\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/omer-demir-anasayfa1-206x220.jpg 206w, https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/06\/omer-demir-anasayfa1.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 206px) 100vw, 206px\" \/><\/a><\/h2>\n<h2>NationalT\u00fcrk yorumcular\u0131m\u0131zdan Ekonomi ve Borsa uzman\u0131 \u00d6mer Demir \u2018in, bu haftaki \u201cABD ve Moratoryum\u201d adl\u0131 makalesini sizlerle payla\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/h2>\n<p>ABD\u2019de Mr.Obama ve Demokratlar\u0131n, Cumhuriyet\u00e7ileri Amerikan Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bor\u00e7lanma \u00fcst limitinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131na izin verilmesini sa\u011flayan form\u00fcller \u00fczerinde hala ikna edememi\u015f olmalar\u0131 , borcun itfa tarihi olan 2 A\u011fustos\u2019a bir haftadan az bir zaman kala ,ak\u0131llara iktisatta Moratoryum denilen bor\u00e7 erteleme ve uzun v\u00e2deli bir \u00f6deme pl\u00e2n\u0131na ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini ihtimalini getiriyor. Ge\u00e7en hafta i\u00e7i kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody\u2019s, bor\u00e7lanma limitinin art\u0131r\u0131lmamas\u0131 halinde ABD\u2019nin 1917\u2032den bu yana \u201cAAA\u201d olan kredi notunu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclebilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 kayg\u0131lar\u0131 dahada artt\u0131rd\u0131. E\u011fer Kongre, hazinenin daha fazla bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131na izin vermez ise, bir hafta sonra devlet memurlar\u0131 maa\u015f alamayacak, sosyal g\u00fcvenlik, emekli \u00f6demeleri yap\u0131lamayacak kamu hizmetlerinin bedelini kar\u015f\u0131layamayacak, vadesi gelmi\u015f i\u00e7-d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 senetlerinin hem anapara hemde faiz \u00f6demelerini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiremeyecek,yeni bor\u00e7 senetleri d\u00fcnyaca \u00e7\u00f6p kabul edilecek. Tabi bu durum en \u00e7ok \u2018\u2019bula\u015fma\u2019\u2019 riski konu\u015fulurken d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde domino etkisi yaratacak.<\/p>\n<p>Tarihte ilk defa 1871\u2019de Fransa, Rusya ile 1870\u2019de yap\u0131lan sava\u015ftan sonra bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6deyedi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015f ve moratoryuma gitmi\u015ftir. 6 Ekim 1875 \u2018de ise Osmal\u0131 Devleti\u2019de kredit\u00f6r \u00fclkelere g\u00fcn\u00fcnde yapamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6demeler sonucu \u2018\u2019bor\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00f6deyemiyorum\u2019\u2019 diyerek Muharrem Kararn\u00e2mesi ile moratoryumunu ilan etmi\u015ftir. T\u00fcrkiye ayr\u0131ca 1958 ve 1978 istikrar programlar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde moratoryum ilan etmi\u015ftir. 1929 \u2018daki b\u00fcy\u00fck buhran arifesinde ABD ve daha sonra g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze kadar olan s\u00fcre\u00e7 i\u00e7erisinde Peru, Brezilya, Meksika, Ekvator gibi \u00fclkeler bor\u00e7 erteleme veya uzun v\u00e2deli bir \u00f6deme pl\u00e2n\u0131 yoluna ba\u015fvurmu\u015flar. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de, 2 A\u011fustos 1914 t\u00e2rihli Royal Proclamation, moratoryumlar\u0131n bir \u00f6rne\u011fidir.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/obama.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-77203\" title=\"ABD VE MORATORYUM \" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/07\/obama.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"216\" height=\"162\"><\/a>14.3 trilyon borca ula\u015fan d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn bor\u00e7lanma limitinin art\u0131r\u0131l\u0131p art\u0131r\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik kriz tam gaz devam ederken k\u00fcresel piyasalar da p\u00fcr dikkat ABD&#8217;deki geli\u015fmeleri izliyor. \u00dclkeler olas\u0131 temerr\u00fcd durumunda ald\u0131klar\u0131 riskleri g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7iriyor. \u0130MKB 100\u2019\u00fcn y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana % 11 , Hindistan Bombay\u2019\u0131n % 9 ,Brezilya Bovespa\u2019n\u0131n % 13, ve Meksika Mexbol endeksinin % 8 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc bunun en b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00f6stergesi. Borsalarda bu hareketler ya\u015fan\u0131rken para piyasalar\u0131nda da benzer hareketler ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana G\u00fcney Afrika Rand\u0131 % 3,Arjantin Pesosu % 4 d\u00fc\u015ferken ,T\u00fcrk liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana de\u011fer kayb\u0131 %11\u2019i buldu.<\/p>\n<p>ABD\u2019de demokratlar ile Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler aras\u0131nda uzla\u015famama konusu temelde iki ayr\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Obama\u2019n\u0131n da dahil oldu\u011fu demokratlar hem bor\u00e7 tavan\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 isterken hemde Avrupa gibi kemer s\u0131kma politikas\u0131n\u0131 ve zenginlerden bir nevi varl\u0131k vergileri gibi talepler i\u00e7inde iken, Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti ,vergilerin artt\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n yerine kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 talep ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta 2 Ag\u0306ustos Sal\u0131 bu karar\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in son tarih. Bence ABD bir g\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne de olsa temerr\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015fecek,sonra \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler bulunacak, Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler ile Demokratlar aras\u0131nda uzla\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flanacak yada 2 A\u011fustostan bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce t\u0131pk\u0131 Yunanistan krizine AB\u2019nin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm buldu\u011fu gibi sorun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclecektir. Bu senaryolar olay\u0131n olumlu taraflar\u0131;olumsuz senaryo ise zeitgeist belgeselinin ger\u00e7ek olmas\u0131 olur ki bu senaryoyu d\u00fcnya kald\u0131ramaz.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00d6MER DEM\u0130R<\/strong><\/p>\n<!-- Error, Advert is not available at this time due to schedule\/geolocation restrictions! -->\n<!-- Error, Advert is not available at this time due to schedule\/geolocation restrictions! -->\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NationalT\u00fcrk yorumcular\u0131m\u0131zdan Ekonomi ve Borsa uzman\u0131 \u00d6mer Demir \u2018in, bu haftaki \u201cABD ve Moratoryum\u201d adl\u0131 makalesini sizlerle payla\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9192212,"featured_media":188451,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6199],"tags":[1887,1178,76632,8212,827,57196,76630,195988,7062],"class_list":["post-77201","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abd","tag-brezilya","tag-ekvator","tag-imkb","tag-meksika","tag-moody","tag-moratoryum","tag-omer-demir","tag-peru"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77201","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9192212"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77201"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77201\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/188451"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77201"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77201"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77201"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}