{"id":93388,"date":"2012-01-03T11:40:51","date_gmt":"2012-01-03T09:40:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/?p=93388"},"modified":"2022-09-10T17:12:51","modified_gmt":"2022-09-10T14:12:51","slug":"isyankar-yil-1397","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/isyankar-yil-1397\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130syankar Y\u0131l"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>NationalTurk yorumcular\u0131m\u0131zdan Ekonomi ve Borsa uzman\u0131 \u00d6mer Demir \u2018in, bu haftaki \u201c\u0130syankar Y\u0131l\u201d adl\u0131 makalesini sizlerle payla\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/h3>\n

Geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z 2011 y\u0131l\u0131na,Arap\u00a0Bahar\u0131 ve Avrupa\u00b4n\u0131n bor\u00e7 krizi\u00a0damgas\u0131n\u0131 vurdu. \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l da iki geli\u015fmenin\u00a0olumsuz etkilerinin devam\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.Tunus’lu bir seyyar sat\u0131c\u0131\u00a0olan Muhammed Buazizi isimli gencin 17 Aral\u0131k 2010 tarihinde\u00a0Sidi Bou Said kasabas\u0131nda i\u015fsizlik ve hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 protesto\u00a0etmek i\u00e7in kendini ate\u015fe vermesi ile ba\u015flayan isyan hareketi\u00a0,d\u00fcnyada isyan fitlini de ate\u015flemi\u015f ve bundan sonra bas\u0131lacak\u00a0tarih kitaplar\u0131nda yeni bir d\u00f6nemin kap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Tunuslu\u00a0gencin kendini yakmas\u0131n\u0131n nedeni olarak yoksulluk ve polisin\u00a0zorbal\u0131klar\u0131na i\u015faret etmi\u015f, Kuzey Afrika\u2019da milyonlarca ki\u015finin\u00a0i\u00e7lerinde zincirledi\u011fi protestolar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa vurmas\u0131na neden\u00a0olmu\u015ftu. Tunus\u2019ta ba\u015flay\u0131p neredeyse t\u00fcm k\u00fcrede esinlenmesi\u00a0g\u00f6r\u00fclen isyanda siyasi ilk fire de yine Tunus\u2019ta verildi ve Tunus\u00a0Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Zeynel\u00a0Abidin Bin Ali, 23 y\u0131ld\u0131r s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc\u00a0iktidar\u0131ndan al\u0131nd\u0131. Zeynel Abidin Bin Ali\u2019nin \u015fimdilerde Suudi\u00a0Arabistan\u2019da ikamet etti\u011fi biliniyor ve hakk\u0131nda 66 y\u0131l hapis\u00a0isteniyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130syan fitilinin ilk yans\u0131mas\u0131nda halk g\u00f6rd\u00fc ki; sars\u0131lmaz olarak\u00a0g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00f6netim rejiminin de\u011fi\u015ftirilebilece\u011fi ger\u00e7e\u011fi umudu bile\u00a0halk\u0131 cesaretlendiriyordu. ilk etkiler M\u0131s\u0131r, Suriye, Bahreyn,\u00a0Yemen ve Libya\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Ard\u0131ndan M\u0131s\u0131r Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131\u00a0H\u00fcsn\u00fc M\u00fcbarek halk\u0131n tepkilerine daha fazla dayanamad\u0131.\u00a0M\u0131s\u0131r’\u0131 30 y\u0131l y\u00f6neten M\u00fcbarek \u015fimdilerde sa\u011fl\u0131k sorunlar\u0131\u00a0nedeniyle kah tekerlekli sandalye kah sedyede yarg\u0131lama\u00a0s\u00fcreci ge\u00e7iriyor. Arap Bahar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u2018\u2019en \u2018\u2019leri aras\u0131na giren isimdi\u00a0Libya lideri Muammer Kaddafi. 1969\u2019dan bu yana tam 42 y\u0131ld\u0131r\u00a0oturdu\u011fu Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 koltu\u011funu kimselere b\u0131rakmayan\u00a0Kaddafi\u2019nin son g\u00fcnleri sefalet ve ka\u00e7makla ge\u00e7ti .Sonunda\u00a0ka\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 yerde bulunup muhaliflerce yak\u0131larak \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.\u00a0Yemen lideri Ali Abdullah Salih ise yine muhalif gruplar\u0131n\u00a0sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 \u00f6l\u00fcmle pen\u00e7ele\u015firken Subat 2012 \u2018de yap\u0131lacak\u00a0devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerine kat\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmesini\u00a0imzalad\u0131 bile. Suriye \u2018de ise ,halk \u00fczerinde bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 halen\u00a0hissettiren Esad y\u00f6netimi\u2019ne tepkiler s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131nca ,uluslararas\u0131\u00a0camiada yanl\u0131zla\u015ft\u0131rma \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ile Esad\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6revi b\u0131rakmas\u0131\u00a0i\u00e7in bask\u0131lar yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Mesela kom\u015fusu \u0130ran ,Rusya ve \u00c7in ile\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye \u2018nin de dahil oldu\u011f\u0131u BM\u2019nin daimi \u00fcyelerinin bu hakl\u0131\u00a0tepkisi ilk etapta kendini sert ekonomik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar olarak\u00a0g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

Arap\u00a0Bahar\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin ortak \u00f6zelli\u011fi,y\u0131llard\u0131r demokratik bir \u015fekilde y\u00f6netiliyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesine\u00a0kar\u015f\u0131n \u00fclkedeki korku psikolojisi sayesinde g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcndeki antidemokratik\u00a0yap\u0131ya perde \u00e7ekmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmez hale getirmi\u015f olu\u015fu.\u00a0Bu r\u00fczgar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na alan t\u00fcm liderlerin \u00e7ekilmek zorunda\u00a0b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ger\u00e7e\u011fi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Esad i\u00e7inde s\u00fcre doluyor\u00a0denebilir. Arap Bahar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n nas\u0131l bu kadar etkili ve saman alevi\u00a0gibi yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerine ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar, ba\u015fta El Cezire ve El Arabiya\u00a0gibi tv kanallar\u0131n\u0131n ve sosyal medya internet sitelerinin etkisini\u00a0g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne sererken ,halk\u0131n ,demokrasi ve \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck i\u00e7in\u00a0\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131klar\u0131 bu yolda, \u015fimdilik \u00f6l\u00fcm,\u015fiddet ve kan haricinde\u00a0yoluna ba\u015fka bir\u015fey \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Son y\u00fczy\u0131lda s\u00fcrekli Bat\u0131y\u0131 kendine \u00f6rnek alan Ortado\u011fu ,bu kez\u00a0Bat\u0131ya esin kayna\u011f\u0131 oldu .Ortado\u011fu \u2018da ba\u015flayan isyan
\nhareketi\u2019nin ABD yans\u0131mas\u0131 say\u0131lan Wall Street’i \u0130\u015fgal y\u00fcr\u00fcy\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u00a0\u00f6z\u00fcnde kapitalizm sistemin eksikliklerini g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne sermek\u00a0i\u00e7in yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir protesto hareketi. Protestocu grubun \u2018\u2019Sorun\u00a0yolsuzluk ya da a\u00e7g\u00f6zl\u00fcl\u00fck de\u011fil, sorun sizi yolsuzluk yapmaya sevkeden\u00a0sistemdir\u2019\u2019 s\u00f6zlerini “\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczde uzun bir yol var ve eninde sonunda\u00a0ger\u00e7ekten zor sorulara yan\u0131t vermemiz gerekecek. Bunlar ne\u00a0istemedi\u011fimiz \u00fczerine de\u011fil, ne istedi\u011fimiz \u00fczerine sorular. Mevcut\u00a0kapitalizmin yerini hangi toplumsal \u00f6rg\u00fctlenme alabilir? Ne t\u00fcrden yeni\u00a0liderler istiyoruz?” nidalar\u0131na \u00e7eviriyor. ABD ve Kanada\u2019daki
\nEylemleri ya\u015fanmakta olan iktisadi krizin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015firketlerdeki\u00a0sorumlular\u0131n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u00a0alevlenmesini sa\u011flarken , kemikle\u015fmi\u015f sendika ve siyasi\u00a0partilerdeki yap\u0131y\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131ncaya kadar devam edecekleri vaadleri\u00a0hayli iddial\u0131. WallStreet eylemcileri belki bu yap\u0131y\u0131 k\u0131rmay\u0131\u00a0ba\u015faramayacaklar ama daha adil bir gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131\u00a0hedefleyen toplumcu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerin bir g\u00fcn d\u00fcnya \u00fczerinde hakim\u00a0olaca\u011f\u0131 hayali bile umut verici. K\u0131saca ge\u00e7en y\u0131la kadar\u00a0\u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck konusunda hayli geri kalm\u0131\u015f ortado\u011fu konusunda\u00a0b\u00f6yle bir protesto olaylar\u0131, belki tahmin edilebilirdi ama Wall\u00a0Street\u2019i Tahrir Meydan\u0131\u2019na \u00e7eviren g\u00f6stericilerin Broadway\u2019de\u00a0ki eylemleri tahmini zor konulardan biri olurdu.<\/p>\n

AB CEPHES\u0130NDE YEN\u0130 B\u0130\u015eEY YOK<\/strong><\/p>\n

Avrupa\u00b4n\u0131n i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu bor\u00e7 krizini \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm i\u00e7in\u00a0siyaset\u00e7ilerden daha \u00e7ok ekonomist k\u00f6\u015fe yazarlar\u0131n\u00a0se\u00e7enekleri masaya yat\u0131rmas\u0131 AB\u2019de \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn i\u015fareti. 5\u00a0trilyon Euro\u2019yu a\u015fan bat\u0131k paran\u0131n hangi \u00fclke yada\u00a0konsorsiumca kar\u015f\u0131lanaca\u011f\u0131 bilinmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece ,hatta bu\u00a0bat\u0131\u011f\u0131n kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde yeni a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n verilmeyece\u011finin\u00a0garantisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece AB \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme \u00e7ok uzak. Alman\u2019lar\u0131n ve\u00a0\u00e7ekirdek AB\u2019nin prestijli \u00fcyelerinin,sevilmeyen AB \u00fcyelerine\u00a0PIIGS(domuzlar) diye hitap etti\u011fi,bu \u00fclke vatanda\u015flar\u0131na\u00a0ceplerinden para \u00f6demeye hi\u00e7 mi hi\u00e7 niyetleri yok. ECB\u00a0(Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131)\u2019nin bankalara pompalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 paran\u0131n\u00a0elindeki t\u00fcm varl\u0131k oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcnce yada kendini mermisi
\nt\u00fckenmi\u015f halde bulursa kimse \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmas\u0131n. Hep ele\u015ftirilen\u00a0ECB\u2019nin tahvil al\u0131mlar\u0131nda aceleci davranmamas\u0131 ise gelece\u011fi
\ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn kan\u0131t\u0131.Keza 200 milyar Euro\u2019nun \u00fczerinde bir al\u0131m\u00a0yapan ECB\u2019nin 2012 \u2018de bu rakam\u0131 1 trilyon Euro\u2019ya kadar\u00a0\u015fi\u015firmesi gerekiyor.Aksi durumda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u00fcm bu riskli deney\u00a0kendini ba\u015fa \u00e7evirir ve yeni Bankac\u0131l\u0131k krizi kap\u0131y\u0131 \u00e7alar.<\/p>\n

Bankac\u0131l\u0131k ve reel sekt\u00f6r birbirinin yans\u0131mas\u0131 derler, Asya’n\u0131n\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fck iki ekonomisi Hindistan ve \u00c7in’de a\u00e7\u0131klanan imalat
\nsanayi endeksinin Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi Avrupa’n\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131\u00a0bor\u00e7 krizinin d\u0131\u015f yans\u0131mas\u0131na Asya\u2019n\u0131n g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi direnci
\ng\u00f6steriyor ama Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nin e\u015f zamanl\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanan imalat\u00a0verilerin ise son 5 ayd\u0131r s\u00fcrekli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte olu\u015fu istikrar\u0131n\u00a0devam\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Eldeki para h\u00fcrriyetin aletidir.Fakat pe\u015fi s\u0131ra kovalanan para,\u00a0tam tersine k\u00f6lelik aletidir.(Rousseau)<\/p>\n

\u00d6MER DEM\u0130R<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

NationalTurk yorumcular\u0131m\u0131zdan Ekonomi ve Borsa uzman\u0131 \u00d6mer Demir \u2018in, bu haftaki \u201c\u0130syankar Y\u0131l\u201d adl\u0131 makalesini sizlerle payla\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9192212,"featured_media":185972,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6199,6202],"tags":[77168,195975,80960,66226,37044,711,1981,40349,4787,64143,720,195988,66223,721,806,13734,60235],"class_list":["post-93388","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-politika","tag-arap-bahari","tag-avrupa","tag-avrupa-borc-krizi","tag-avrupa-merkez-bankasi","tag-bahreyn","tag-cin","tag-iran","tag-kuzey-afrika","tag-libya","tag-libya-lideri-muammer-kaddafi","tag-misir","tag-omer-demir","tag-piigs","tag-rusya","tag-suriye","tag-yemen","tag-zeynel-abidin-bin-ali"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93388","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9192212"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93388"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93388\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/185972"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93388"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93388"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalturk.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93388"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}