Fed Opens 2026 With a Pause, Holds Interest Rates Steady
The US Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at its first policy meeting of 2026, signaling a cautious approach as inflation remains elevated and the labor market shows signs of stabilization.
The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced its first interest rate decision of 2026, opting to leave borrowing costs unchanged. As widely expected by markets, the central bank maintained the federal funds rate in the 3.50%–3.75% range, reinforcing its message of patience amid mixed economic signals.
Decision split within the committee
The rate decision was approved by a 10–2 vote, highlighting internal divisions within the Federal Open Market Committee. Governors Stephen Mirran and Christopher Waller dissented, arguing in favor of a 25-basis-point rate cut, while the majority supported holding rates steady.
Inflation still high, labor market steadier
In its policy statement, the Fed acknowledged that inflation remains “somewhat elevated,” while noting growing signs of balance in the labor market. Notably, language warning of rising downside risks to employment was removed from the statement.
Officials pointed to modest job gains alongside a decline in the unemployment rate, which fell to 4.4% in December, suggesting increased stability after months of uncertainty.
Pause follows last year’s rate cuts
The decision marks the Fed’s first pause after cutting rates by a total of 75 basis points across three meetings in September, October, and December of last year. With economic growth holding firm, policymakers appear in no rush to resume easing.
Market expectations currently indicate that rates are unlikely to change before the June 16–17 meeting.
Powell: Policy stance remains appropriate
Speaking after the announcement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank remains focused on its dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment.
“The US economy is on solid footing,” Powell said, adding that the current policy stance is well positioned to support continued progress toward both objectives.
He noted that housing activity remains weak and that inflation has eased compared to previous levels, though it continues to run above the Fed’s 2% target.
Attention turns to the coming months
With Powell’s term set to expire in May, scrutiny over future monetary policy decisions is intensifying. Investors are now watching upcoming data closely to assess whether inflation trends will allow room for rate cuts later in the year.
For now, the Fed appears content to wait — signaling that stability, not urgency, will guide its next moves.
